Four bull's-eyes. From over 1000 km away.
This is the picture of Israeli fear. These are not your daddy's throwaway rockets that get fired blind and land in the middle of wherever. They are harbingers of increased military capability and confidence. They can find the Israeli Defense Ministry, a big building in the middle of Tel Aviv.
Iran knows that Israel knows all this and cannot allow it to go any further. That's why Israel is attacking Iranian Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) forces in Syria, Hezbollah warehouses in Lebanon, and Iranian-allied forces in Iraq. But, as Iran knows very well, that's not enough, and Israel is determined, sooner rather than later, to strike large and at the root--Iran itself. All the more so because Iran is not backing down but beefing up, and proclaiming itself ready to fight rather than get pushed back. Magnier quotes an "Axis of Resistance" decision-maker: "There is no alternative to war. One day it will be war on a large scale."
It's not that Iran does not know the damage Israel can do; it's that they also know (and know that Israel knows) how little damage Israel can take. As the Deputy Commander of Operations of the IRGC, Abbas Nilforoushan, says, quoted by defense analyst Yossef Bodansky: "Iran has encircled Israel from all four sides; if only one missile hits the occupied lands, Israeli airports will be filled with people trying to run away from the country."
Israel, even less than the US, cannot take casualties. A couple of bull's eyes, a lot of Israelis go back to Brooklyn. The 82 million people in Iran have no place else to go.
So, Netanyahu and the Israeli military leadership are at the point where they think it's necessary to take Iran down now, before the strategic situation deteriorates for them even further. As they correctly fear, doing nothing carries at least as great a risk for them in the not-so-distant future as taking the risk of a direct attack on Iran does now.
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