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Who Is More Electable?

By       Message Scott Galindez       (Page 1 of 2 pages)     Permalink    (# of views)   3 comments

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Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton vs Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton vs Bernie Sanders
(Image by The Rubin Report, Channel: The Rubin Report)
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Don't look now, but in the latest hypothetical general election poll conducted by Rasmussen Reports, Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton.

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According to the survey, which was conducted from April 27 to 28 among 1,000 likely voters:

Trump now has the support of 73% of Republicans, while 77% of Democrats back Clinton. But Trump picks up 15% of Democrats, while just eight percent (8%) of GOP voters prefer Clinton, given this matchup.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 37% to 31%, but 23% like another candidate. Nine percent (9%) are undecided.

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Hmmm, I do not think 32% are lining up to vote for Jill Stein or Gary Johnson. So these are voters who at this point are not supporting anyone likely to be on the ballot in November.

Give the voters the option of staying home and the same poll has the race tied.

Rasmussen Reports did not poll a hypothetical Sanders versus Trump matchup. Other polls all show Sanders beating Trump by more than 10 points. Those same polls have the race closer between Clinton and Trump.

Talk about a race to the bottom, the two most unpopular candidates in either party will likely be the nominees of the two major political parties.

Now let's look at some other indicators of electability.

Favorability: (Huffington Post average)
Sanders: 52%
Clinton: 47%
Trump: 35%

Unfavorability: (Huffington Post average)

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Trump: 61%
Clinton: 55%
Sanders: 40%

Honesty: ( poll)

Sanders: 47%
Trump: 29%
Clinton: 27%

Dishonesty: ( poll)

Clinton: 56%
Trump: 52%
Sanders: 24%

When asked by Peter Hart and Associates in an April poll, all voters chose Sanders as the candidate they could support at higher levels than any other candidate.

Here is the exact question, Q13: "I'm going to mention a number of people running for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so."

Sanders: 49% yes 48% no
Clinton: 41% yes 58% no
Trump: 31% yes 68% no

If these numbers are true, why isn't Sanders winning? The answer is simple: These numbers are among all voters, many of whom are shut out of the nominating process. Hillary Clinton's numbers are better if you only ask Democrats. Donald Trump does better among Republicans.

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Scott Galindez is a graduate of Syracuse University, a US Army veteran, and currently the Political Director of Scott's activism began at an anti-nuclear vigil in Lafayette "Peace Park" across from the White House. Scott (more...)

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