It can very well be dangerous to remain naà ¯ve re- the implications of our crisis of transition - and especially the probable reality that certain political factions will attempt to exploit these traumatic times (if not originate such events).
In 1992 some 7,000 of the world's senior scientists, including the majority of Nobel laureates in the sciences, signed an unprecedented document.
"We the undersigned, senior members of the world's scientific community, hereby warn all humanity of what lies ahead. A great change in our stewardship of the earth and the life on it is required, if vast human misery is to be avoided and our global home on this planet is not to be irretrievably mutilated."
In November 2017, 15,364 scientists signed "World Scientists' Warning to Humanity: A Second Notice" calling for, among other things, limiting population growth and drastically diminishing per capita consumptions of fossil fuels, meat, and other resources.
The second notice included 9 time-series graphs of key indicators, each correlated to a specific issue mentioned in the original 1992 warning, to show that most environmental issues are continuing to trend in the wrong direction, most with no discernible change in rate. The article included 13 specific steps humanity could take to transition to sustainability.
The second notice has more scientist cosigners and formal supporters than any other journal article ever published. A full warning was published in Bioscience.
From Wikipedia:
In November 2019, a group of more than 11,000 scientists from 153 countries named climate change an "emergency" that would lead to "untold human suffering" if no big shifts in action takes place:
"We declare clearly and unequivocally that planet Earth is facing a climate emergency. To secure a sustainable future, we must change how we live. [This] entails major transformations in the ways our global society functions and interacts with natural ecosystems.
"The emergency declaration emphasized that economic and population growth 'are among the most important drivers of increases in CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion' and that 'we need bold and drastic transformations regarding economic and population policies.'
"A 2021 update to the 2019 climate emergency declaration focuses on 31 planetary vital signs (including greenhouse gases and temperature, rising sea levels, energy use, ice mass, ocean heat content, Amazon rainforest loss rate, etc.), and recent changes to them. Of these, 18 are reaching critical levels...
"The authors say only profound changes in human behavior can meet these challenges and emphasize the need to move beyond the idea that global heating is a stand-alone emergency, and is one facet of the worsening environmental crisis.
"This necessitates the need for transformational system changes and to focus on the root cause of these crises, the vast human overexploitation of the earth, rather than just addressing symptom relief. They point to six areas where fundamental changes need to be made:
(1) energy -- eliminating fossil fuels and
shifting to renewables;
(2) short-lived air pollutants -- slashing black carbon (soot),
methane, and hydrofluorocarbons;
(3) nature -- restoring and permanently protecting Earth's ecosystems
to store and accumulate carbon and restore biodiversity;
(4) food -- switching to mostly plant-based diets, reducing food
waste, and improving cropping practices;
(5) economy -- moving from indefinite GDP growth and overconsumption
by the wealthy to ecological economics and circular economy, in which prices
reflect the full environmental costs of goods and services; and
(6) human population -- stabilizing and gradually reducing the
population by providing voluntary family planning and supporting education and
rights for all girls and young women, which has been proven to lower fertility
rates."
youtube.com/watch?v=ihobiCxOx0k
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