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Do the Bomb Iran Shuffle

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Pepe Escobar
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European minions may be incompetent enough to win a war in Libya (they did it
only when the Pentagon took over satellite intelligence).


They may be incompetent enough to manage Europe's financial disaster. But
France, Germany and the UK have already started barking -- calling for further
stringent sanctions on Iran.


In the US, Democrats and Republicans alike are calling not only for sanctions;
in the case of wacko Republicans, which of course, is an oxymoron, they're
calling for a new version of Shock and Awe.


It's never enough to repeat how things work in Washington. The Banjamin
Netanyahu government in Israel tells the powerful American Israel Public
Affairs Committee what to do, and the AIPAC orders the US Congress what to do.


That's how the House Foreign Affairs Committee is considering a bipartisan bill
that is essentially a declaration of war.


According to the bill, neither President Barack Obama, nor Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton, nor in fact any US diplomat can engage in any kind of
diplomacy with Iran -- unless Obama convinces the ''appropriate congressional
committees'' that not talking would mean an ''extraordinary threat to the vital
national security interests of the United States."


''Appropriate congressional committees'' happens to define exactly the House
Foreign Affairs Committee, which gets its martial marching orders from Bibi in
Israel via AIPAC in Washington.


Try telling any of these Israeli-firsters at the United States Congress what
are the real immediate consequences of an attack on Iran; the Strait of Hormuz
closed within minutes, at least 6 million barrels of oil out of the world
economy (already in recession in the industrialized North), a barrel of oil
hitting $300 or $400.


It doesn't matter; they're incapable of doing the math.


Prep well, and stick to the agenda



Rumors swirl about the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) recently
claiming, according to the Fars news agency, that only four Iranian missiles
can deter Israel.


These missiles might -- or might not -- be Soviet Kh-55 nuclear cruise missiles
from the Ukraine and Belarus, with a maximum range of 2,500 kilometers, that
Iran may have bought years ago in the black market.


The IRGC, of course, is mum. That only feeds the fog of (pre)war -- as nobody
exactly knows how well defended Iran is.


It's an open secret in Washington that regime change in Iran is being war-gamed
by the Pentagon since at least 2004.


The favorite neo-con 2002 road map still applies, the targets being Iraq,
Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Iran, Somalia and Sudan -- all key nodes in the
Pentagon-coined ''arc of instability."


Imagine PhDs in warmongering examining the chessboard. Iraq was duly shocked
and awed (even though the US is now being booted out). Syria is too hard to
crack for the incompetent North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Lebanon (Hezbollah)
can only be captured if Syria falls first. Libya was a victory (forget about a
protracted civil war). Somalia is containable with Uganda and drones. And South
Sudan is in the bag.


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Pepe Escobar is an independent geopolitical analyst. He writes for RT, Sputnik and TomDispatch, and is a frequent contributor to websites and radio and TV shows ranging from the US to East Asia. He is the former roving correspondent for Asia (more...)
 

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