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Pennacchio Rising, Casey Falling in Stats Based on Sample of Millions

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Back in June of 1993, moveon/org held an "internet primary" for the declared Democratic presidential candidates. I had been tracking them using alexa.com (owned by amazon.com) which tracks ranking of the top six million websites. I analyzed the data to predict the winner. My analysis showed Howard Dean would win, but would not win by 50%, which would have gotten him a fundraiser from Moveon.org. Here's a link to the original article, making the prediction (apologies for site design. OpEdNews was only a few months old) OpEdNews "Internet Exit Polltm" Results for The MoveOn.org Democratic Primary: And the Winner Is:


I called the Dean headquarters, gave them the news and they had a party that night. The next day, they called me back to congratulate me. My analysis of the website info had predicted the Dean win within less than one percent of the final tally. I wrote another article that day, detailing how the prediction was made. Internet Exit Polling; How We Did.

So, here I am, almost three years later, having run a real poll, with Zogby, and I though, why not check the old alexa.com stats. So I did, It shows Pennacchio in the lead with casey falling further behind. This is based on millions of web visitors and is in spite of all the media coverage Casey has received in comparison with Pennacchio and Sandals.
Today 1 wk. Avg. 3 mos. Avg. 3 mos. Change
Chuck-------N/A*----678,048-------1,102,132____ 1,216,162
Casey-------N/A*----1,011,483-----1,142,772____ 624,572
Sandals-----N/A*_______ --________1,652,307____ 315,581


You can do this if you want. It's not rocket science. First, go to alexa.com and download their toolbar. That's the easy way. Some say it's spyware because it sends back to alexa.com info on where you browse. They use that info to track millions of web surfers. Then they rank websites based on which ones get the most visits.

You don't have to use the toolbar. You can just go to alexa.com and plug in each web address you want to check out. It will provide you with stats on the site you are checking out.

I'll be keeping tabs on the three senate candidate sites in the next few days, as we come closer to the primary.

 

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Rob Kall has spent his adult life as an awakener and empowerer-- first in the field of biofeedback, inventing products, developing software and a music recording label, MuPsych, within the company he founded in 1978-- Futurehealth, and founding, organizing and running 3 conferences: Winter Brain, on Neurofeedback and consciousness, Optimal Functioning and Positive Psychology (a pioneer in the field of Positive Psychology, first presenting workshops on it in 1985) and Storycon Summit Meeting on the Art Science and Application of Story-- each the first of their kind. Then, when he found the process of raising people's consciousness and empowering them to take more control of their lives one person at a time was too slow, he founded Opednews.com-- which has been the top search result on Google for the terms liberal news and progressive opinion for several years. Rob began his Bottom-up Radio show, broadcast on WNJC 1360 AM to Metro Philly, also available on iTunes, covering the transition of our culture, business and world from predominantly Top-down (hierarchical, centralized, authoritarian, patriarchal, big) to bottom-up (egalitarian, local, interdependent, grassroots, archetypal feminine and small.) Recent long-term projects include a book, Bottom-up-- The Connection Revolution, debillionairizing the planet and the Psychopathy Defense and Optimization Project.

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Rob Kall's Bottom Up Radio Show: Over 200 podcasts are archived for downloading here, or can be accessed from iTunes. Rob is also published regularly on the Huffingtonpost.com

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