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Israel and Iran: one spark could ignite a Middle East inferno

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Michael Payne
Message Michael Payne

The war of words continues unabated with regard to Iran's nuclear intentions. The rhetoric emanating from the leaders of Iran, Israel and the United States is filled with suspicion, distrust and dangerous saber rattling. The tensions are rapidly escalating to the point that just one small spark could ignite a Middle East inferno that could escalate into the next world war.

Words are cheap, actions speak much louder. Listening to these three parties' never-ending rhetoric is a monumental waste of time and will solve nothing. Actions are the things that count when analyzing just what is happening in the Middle East and where this situation may be heading.

Let's begin with words. Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is a master of obtuse rhetoric. He craves the spotlight even though that exposure is generally damaging to his image. He uses every opportunity presented to insult and make threats against the government of Israel. But this worn out act is meaningless and merely serves to increase the hatred and distrust that his enemies feel for him.

The rhetoric flowing from the government of Israel is deadly serious with a constant menacing threat of potential attack upon the nuclear facilities of Iran. I can't ever recall hearing a message coming from Israel that has ever attempted to promote any form of diplomacy or to try to reach a middle ground with Iran or other neighbor states.

The message coming out of Washington has been mixed, conflicting and confusing. With the Bush war hawks we witnessed relentless saber rattling and threats for eight years. Now with President Obama, the message has changed to one that seemingly promotes diplomacy and mutual discussions. But there is still that ominous background noise that continues to stress that all options are on the table including an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.

So, let's put aside all this rhetoric and concentrate on important actions taken by each of these nations in the highly turbulent atmosphere of the Middle East.

The NNPT à ‚¬" the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty: this is a treaty initiated in 1968 to limit the spread of nuclear weapons. Of the 189 parties to the treaty, five have nuclear weapons; the U.S., Russia, the U.K., China and France. There are four notable sovereign states, India, Pakistan, North Korea and Israel that have chosen not to sign on.

This treaty allows for and agrees upon the transfer of nuclear technology and materials to NNPT signatory countries for the development of civilian nuclear energy programs in those countries, as long as they can demonstrate that their nuclear programs are not being used for the development of nuclear weapons.

Here, then, are the actions by Israel and Iran relative to nuclear weapons. Israel, which has refused to sign the NNPT Treaty, is believed to possess the largest and most sophisticated nuclear arsenal outside of the five major nuclear powers. Israel will neither confirm nor deny the existence of the alleged nuclear arsenal but abundant evidence proves otherwise.

Iran, on the other hand, is a signatory to the NNPT and, thereby, is authorized to develop nuclear power for peaceful purposes. An ongoing battle is raging in which Iran is continually accused of enriching uranium, not for peaceful purposes, but for development of nuclear weapons. No such evidence has thus far been found even though the IAEA, the International Atomic Energy Agency has, for years, been actively monitoring Iran's nuclear facilities.

Based on these facts, you can decide for yourself whose actions should be judged as detrimental to Middle East peace and whose seem to be in line with international treaties and law. This entire escalating scenario seems to be evolving in the same manner that we witnessed when Saddam Hussein was being accused of having weapons of mass destruction, while the United Nations inspectors were certain that he did not. This is dà ©jà vu all over again.

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