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Some Views on Obama and Clinton Campaign Spins

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The Obama campaign has been touting some polls that show he does better against McCain, by a few points.

The Clinton campaign has been bragging that Hillary won key democratic states-- California, New York, Massachusetts.

They both need some debunking. Personally, I like Obama better. He seems less tainted by the DLC. But since OpEdNEws is a non-partisan progressive site, I feel the site has the responsibility to lay out, when we see them different perspectives than the mainstream media are spinning.

Obama Does Better in Poll Matchups with McCain
First, the matchup with McCain. Pollsters build a poll by asking the accepted percentage of democrats, Republicans and independents. That usually works out to something like 40% Democrats, 40% Republicans and 20% independents. The problem is, voters are not coming out in those proportions. Look at Virginia, a state that went for Bush in 2004. Twice as many voters showed up in the Democratic as on the Republican side.

The new voter math suggests that the usual proportions pollsters use are not really representative of the current reality. If the polls are showing Hillary or Obama even or a point or three ahead, then in reality, they are probably ten points ahead.

I interpret this to mean that either Obama or Hillary will have an easy time crushing McCain. Obama does NOT have the significant advantage over Hillary that the pollsters seem to suggest. If you're not sure who you're voting for, and this polling issue has been influencing you, go with the candidate you think best reflects your personal position on issues, values, stands.

I'd say this perspective on the polls helps Hillary.

Hillary Won the Key Democratic States
So what? These are the easy states that Democrats can depend upon. It means almost nothing to claim that Hillary won these states. The real question is, who won the red and purple states. That's a better indicator of who has a better shot at winning states Bush won in 2000 and 2004. Hillary won Florida, sort of and she squeaked by in New Mexico. But Obama won Idaho, Virginia, Georgia, and a lot of other red and purple states.

Experience and Achievement
Hillary claims she has more experience-- 35 years worth. That assumes that her eight years in the Whitehouse counts. I think it does. She did not participate in the day to day cabinet meetings (would Bill, in a Hillary Whitehouse?) but she certainly routinely dealt with world leaders, was in on discussions on how to deal with problems and opportunities.

Obama was a state legislator who got a lot done in that role. Here's an article, (Clinton & Obama Senate Accomplishments, Whose Got the Beef? ) that lists some of the accomplishments. It's biased towards Obama, so read the comments, which balance it out. I mention it because the mainstream media seem to be assuming that it is Hillary with the most achievements and experience. 

I think that in the coming debates, a number of questions about experience should  be asked.

Of course, Obama's been replying, asking if people want the kind of experience that resulted in misguided votes on war.

comments on these observations are very welcome. 

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Rob Kall is an award winning journalist, inventor, software architect, connector and visionary. His work and his writing have been featured in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, CNN, ABC, the HuffingtonPost, Success, Discover and other media.

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He is the author of The Bottom-up Revolution; Mastering the Emerging World of Connectivity

He's given talks and workshops to Fortune 500 execs and national medical and psychological organizations, and pioneered first-of-their-kind conferences in Positive Psychology, Brain Science and Story. He hosts some of the world's smartest, most interesting and powerful people on his Bottom Up Radio Show, and founded and publishes one of the top Google- ranked progressive news and opinion sites,

more detailed bio:

Rob Kall has spent his adult life as an awakener and empowerer-- first in the field of biofeedback, inventing products, developing software and a music recording label, MuPsych, within the company he founded in 1978-- Futurehealth, and founding, organizing and running 3 conferences: Winter Brain, on Neurofeedback and consciousness, Optimal Functioning and Positive Psychology (a pioneer in the field of Positive Psychology, first presenting workshops on it in 1985) and Storycon Summit Meeting on the Art Science and Application of Story-- each the first of their kind. Then, when he found the process of raising people's consciousness and empowering them to take more control of their lives one person at a time was too slow, he founded which has been the top search result on Google for the terms liberal news and progressive opinion for several years. Rob began his Bottom-up Radio show, broadcast on WNJC 1360 AM to Metro Philly, also available on iTunes, covering the transition of our culture, business and world from predominantly Top-down (hierarchical, centralized, authoritarian, patriarchal, big) to bottom-up (egalitarian, local, interdependent, grassroots, archetypal feminine and small.) Recent long-term projects include a book, Bottom-up-- The Connection Revolution, (more...)

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