An article in the London Times on
Thursday September 20, 2001 titled Secret plans for 10-year war, by Michael Evans laid out the plan. "AMERICA and
Britain are producing secret plans to launch a ten-year 'war on terrorism' --
Operation Noble Eagle -- involving a completely new military and diplomatic
strategy to eliminate terrorist networks and cells around the world."
The
article goes on to report that the whole "long-term American approach," was
being driven by Vice President Richard Cheney and Secretary of State General
Colin Powell in the mold of the war on drugs or poverty with special attention
paid to "hearts and minds" and the sensitivities of Islamic fundamentalists in
Pakistan.
John Kerry has a big job ahead of him as he meets to discuss U.S. predator drone attacks, accusations that Pakistan harbors Islamist militants, the failure of Pakistan's military to engage the Taliban and the killing of Osama bin Laden.
But the biggest job of all may be coming to grips with the growing list of conflicting interests that are hobbling American policy while rewriting the American narrative to reflect the unpleasant reality that the war on terror was only a stage in an evolving process leading to an endless escalation of war.
To the shock and awe of many, both inside and
outside the United States, instead of breaking with the national security
policies of George W. Bush, the Obama administration has, in many cases, only
furthered programs and practices implemented by his predecessor. In fact it
appears that President Obama has embraced the largely discredited 1992 program
for America's global dominance known as the Defense Planning Guidance crafted under another Bonesman, President George Herbert
Walker Bush.
It was assumed that, following the collapse of the Soviet Union, the
United States would rethink the need for war. Instead, the '92 Defense Planning
Guidance set the stage for a whole new era of confrontation stating -- "Our
first objective is to prevent the reemergence of a new rival."
The
administration faces a rising coalition of regional rivals due to convene in
Astana, Kazakhstan on June 15 under the banner of the Shanghai Cooperation
Organization (SCO). It also faces a self-imposed deadline for a troop withdrawal
beginning this July, and the intensifying fear that Pakistan's nuclear weapons
will fall into terrorist hands.
Hints of a shockingly perverse response
to a nuclear threat from political fanaticism or religious fundamentalism have
been surfacing sporadically over the last few years. In January, 2008 the
Guardian's Ian Traynor reported on a "radical manifesto" for a pre-emptive nuclear attack put forward by NATO's
most senior military officers to "halt the 'imminent' spread of nuclear and
other weapons of mass destruction." The manifesto called for the "first use" of
nuclear weapons by NATO to prevent their potential use by terrorists or a rogue
state.
California State Associate Professor of
Political Science Cora Sol Goldstein's August 2010
suggestion in Small Wars
Journal that "the use of nuclear weapons is not yet justified," hinted
strongly that the time would soon come when they were. And Brookings Institute
Senior Fellow Bruce Riedel's comment in a February 2011 posting that if the U.S. had to fight a war with Pakistan to
occupy it, it would be a "nuclear war," suggested the option was already on the
table.
The Hindu Kush has proved to be the ultimate crossroads for
empires down through the millennia. Its graveyards and mountain passes overflow
with the skulls and bones of invaders. Bonesmen have played an inordinate role
in getting the United States to that crossroads. Let's hope a Bonesman can get
us through without triggering the end of the world.