The New York Times Magazine, January 29, 2012
By Ronen Bergman
Let's not dither and blurt it right out, Israel attacking Iran is quite possibly the most dangerous threat on the world's horizon in the next year.
Politically, America is pre-occupied with the presidential primaries and the November elections. Though the Obama administration reportedly does not want an armed intervention in Iran, the Israeli leadership notably Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Ehud Barak and Vice Prime Minister Moshe Ya'alon may have other ideas.
Yesterday, in the New York Times Magazine, Ronen Bergman, an analyst for the Israeli newspaper "Yedioth Ahronoth", wrote "Will Israel Attack Iran"?
It was extensive, revealing article with his analysis of Israel vis-à-vis Iran based on recent events in Iran i.e. assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists, computer viruses disrupting centrifuges that enrich uranium, the blowing up of transformers et al, the sanctions on the Iran regime relative to its nuclear program, interviews with Barak and Ya'alon the past few weeks as well as interviews with the former head of Mossad, the Israeli intelligence service.
His conclusion: Israel will attack Iran in 2012.
It is an ominous conclusion that will surely cause consternation and denials in official Israel and the U.S. and counter threats by Iran.
It should be required reading for all those concerned with the current state of world affairs.
Bergman lists three basic assumptions:
1. Israel has the ability to cause severe damage to Iran's nuclear sites and can withstand the inevitable counter attacks.
2. There is at least tacit support from the international community, particularly from America, for carrying out the attack.
3. All other possibilities for the containment of Iran's nuclear threat have been exhausted and Israel has arrived at the point of last resort.
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