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Declining Net Energy and the Trajectory of Global Civilization

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Michael Byron
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1.5:1 to 4:1

Nuclear

1.1:1 to 15:1

2 to 9

Biodiesel

1.9:1 to 9:1

Solar thermal

1.6:1

6 to 15

Ethanol

0.5:1 to 8:1

 

Source: http://www.azimuthproject.org/azimuth/show/Energy+return+on+energy+invested

 

Industrial civilization was built for an EROEI of around 100:1. Energy in equals production of goods and services out. We are now at about 10:1 and declining. This must have fateful consequences for us all. As the old, high EROEI stuff gets used up, it is replaced with lower EROEI substitutes. However, as production of goods becomes ever more "expensive" in net-energy terms, the economy responds with job outsourcing. Essentially this is labor arbitrage wherein cheap transportation costs allow for cheap labor in Third World nations to be substituted for more expensive labor in the Developed World. High-paying industrial-sector jobs are lost as a consequence. As the EROEI-diminishment continues, financialization of the economy occurs. Basically, the banksters on Wall Street, in their relentless, utterly amoral, search for the greatest return on capital in the shortest time, stop investing in real-world "bricks and mortar" projects in favor of the enormous yields obtained from financial masturbation. Risk is not a factor as they have not only been declared "too big to fail" under the W. Bush Administration, but actually "too big to jail" under the Obama Administration.

Any profits made by the banksters are theirs; any losses are "socialized" via government bailout to the taxpayers. Since net EROEI will continue its relentless downward trajectory, and since the banksters own Washington, the Republican Party, the Democratic Party, the media, etc., the near-term future becomes fairly obvious.

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Michael P Byron is the author of The Path Through Infinity's Rainbow: Your Guide to Personal Survival and Spiritual Transformation in a World Gone Mad. This book is a manual for taking effective action to deal with the crises of our age (more...)
 

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