The first is their ignorance. I mean that they have no knowledge of the truth of history as it relates to the making and sustaining of the conflict in and over Palestine that became Israel. They are completely unaware, for example that Israel's existence has never, ever, been in danger from any combination of Arab military force. (As I explain and document in detail in my three-volume book Zionism: The Real Enemy of the Jews, the Arab regimes, despite some face-saving and stupid rhetoric to the contrary, never, ever, had any intention of fighting Israel to liberate Palestine. The notion that Israel has lived and still lives in danger of annihilation, the "driving in the sea" of its Jews, is Zionist propaganda nonsense at its brilliant best. Zionism's success in selling it to the political and mainstream media institutions of the West is the reason why a diplomatic resolution of the conflict has been and remains a mission impossible).
The second is their hunger for Zionist campaign funds. On the Republican side the biggest single donor is casino-owning Sheldon Adelson, estimated by Forbes to be worth $29.4 billion. Last year he and his wife Miriam reportedly contributed $100 million to help the Republicans retake the Senate. In recent months it has become clear that any Republican thinking of running for the White House needs Adelson's blessing as well as his money, and that's why some say he now effectively "owns" the Republican party.
For the sake of discussion let's assume for a moment that the next American president is a Republican (Jeb Bush or some other). Would he actually do what Netanyahu and Adelson want and kill the deal with Iran?
I think the answer is almost certainly "No" and here's why.
He would not be in the Oval Office until January 2017 and that is some way down the road. If between now and then the P5+1 nations and Iran have lived up to their commitments, trade with Iran will be booming. (The scramble to get a slice of the Iranian pie is already underway). Unless he is a complete idiot, no American president would want to put an end to that and open the door to a war that would have catastrophic consequences for the region and very probably the whole world.
In that light and assuming all parties to the agreement with Iran honor their commitments, there is in theory a case for saying that Netanyahu can't win -- that he has dug and is still digging himself into a deep, dark hole from which there is no escape, and in which he will die politically.
In the paragraph above I emphasized in theory because even if the agreement with Iran is alive and well in 2017, and even if a Republican president is prepared to live with it, Netanyahu would still have ways to sabotage it.
He could order a false flag operation -- an attack on American interests somewhere which with manufactured/false evidence he would blame on Iran. That could, probably would, give American neo-cons the pretext they would like for war on Iran. (The so-called Christian fundamentalists in the neo-con camp who support Israel right or wrong are probably praying for just such an outcome. Also worth noting is that in the past Adelson himself has talked about the need to attack Iran with a nuclear bomb).
In his body language over the past few days, Netanyahu has seemed to me to be uncomfortable and even a little bit desperate. But he is not yet down and out.
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