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Robert McElvaine
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The average home state margin of victory for the winners of the last dozen presidential elections was 18.8 percent. Mitt Romney is currently running an astonishing 40 points behind the 50-year home state average for the winners of presidential elections.

 

Here's the point the Obama campaign should start to drive home:

 

    In his home state, Mitt Romney is trailing by 21 points. Those who know Romney, his policies and record best are more opposed to him than are people in almost any other state--and far, far more opposed to him than the voters in the home state of any of the major party nominees in the last 50 years were to them.

 

{A more extended discussion of this topic first appeared in Politico.}

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Robert S. McElvaine is a professor of history at Millsaps College and the author of ten books. He is a frequent contributor to the op ed pages of the major national newspapers and blogs for the Huffington Post. His latest book is "Grand Theft (more...)
 
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