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This is particularly significant given the NSCAI is tasked with making recommendations to the federal government regarding how to move forward with AI regulations within the context of "national security" and its members include key members of the Pentagon, U.S. intelligence community and Silicon Valley behemoths that double as contractors to the U.S. military, U.S. intelligence or both. One of the NSCAI's interests, per the FOIA-obtained document, is the use of "AI in diplomacy," suggesting that it also seeks to explore potential State Department uses for AI. Notably, earlier this year, and a year after the aforementioned NSCAI document was written, the State Department saw key aspects of its IT infrastructure privatized and given over to NSCAI-linked companies like Microsoft.
The Establishment Divide over AIGiven Schwarzman's views on AI, his AI-focused "philanthropy," and Blackstone's recent pivot towards technology, it becomes easier to understand why Blackstone has recently hired David Urban to lobby the Department of Defense and the State Department. Over the last few years, Schwarzman ally Eric Schmidt has "reinvented himself as the prime liaison between Silicon Valley and the national security community" through his chairing of the NSCAI and other positions and has been lobbying "to revamp America's defense forces with more engineers, more software and more A.I." Blackstone's plans to use David Urban to woo the Pentagon are likely directly related to these efforts to speed up and determine not just when but how the U.S. military adopts A.I-driven technologies, particularly regarding the degree of collaboration with China.
Schwarzman, Schmidt, Kissinger and their allies, as pointed out above, appear to favor direct collaboration with China regarding A.I., seeing it as better for business and the best way to avert "catastrophe." This is particularly true for Schwarzman who has close business ties to China and has been described as "Trump's China whisperer" by mainstream media. Indeed, Schwarzman and Blackstone have completed numerous, multi-billion dollar deals in China, with a Hong Kong-based publication even claiming that "Schwarzman has become the go-to man for Chinese buyers." In addition, Schwarzman has a strong personal relationship with Chinese leader Xi Jinping and is credited with softening Trump's rhetoric and stance on certain issues related to China since 2017. Part of the reason for this, per Henry Kissinger, owes to Schwarzman's "unique standing" in China where Schwarzman has "done so many useful things."
Despite his close ties to Schwarzman, Trump has sent mixed signals regarding how much of Schwarzman's advice regarding China he will take. Trump's tendency, in public anyway, has been to bolster the nationalist rhetoric of the cadre of neoconservatives and other figures who compose the Committee on the Present Danger, China (CPDC), chief among them former Trump strategist Steve Bannon.
Bannon and other CPDC figures have described Schwarzman as a "rival," with Bannon specifically singling Schwarzman out, asserting that the Blackstone founder threatened to "undo his efforts" at guiding the President towards more nationalist policies popular with his base, such as fighting an "economic war" with China. Bannon's concerns are also echoed by some hardliners in the Trump administration and the Pentagon who, like Bannon, view China as an existential threat to U.S. hegemony and, therefore, "national security."
Ultimately, with David Urban's hire, Schwarzman and Blackstone appear to be taking their efforts to shape AI's future by lobbying the Pentagon and State Department directly in the event that Trump's nationalistic tendencies threaten their vision of U.S.-China collaboration in AI in the post-Coronavirus world.
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