The road map ahead is grim. The Brazilian Constitution is being torn to shreds, submitted to a white coup logic to be enforced by all means necessary. The politicization of the Judiciary runs in parallel to the mainstream media spectacularization of everything that the process touches, criminalizing politics but only selected politicians.
Brazil's hugely concentrated economic interests are willing to support any deal that would mean an endgame to the political/judicial war, as politico-economically the country remains totally paralyzed -- and polarized. Inside the -- immensely corrupt -- Brazilian Congress, a special commission to deliberate over Rousseff's impeachment has been appointed, including 36 dodgy members of Parliament who are facing myriad judicial problems; Kafka or the Dadaists would not come up with anything as absurd.
So the road map ahead now depends on how this dodgy impeachment commission will progress -- or not. One of the possible scenarios is Rousseff's ouster as early as late April, even if she has not been formally accused of any wrongdoing; the usual Empire of Chaos suspects and the local comprador elites barely contain their glee as they "inform" Bloomberg or the Wall Street Journal. But then there's the Lula factor.
How sweet was my coupAssuming Lula may be back in action in the next few days, extensive political articulation -- which the opposition wants to kill by all means -- will need 171 votes to smash the impeachment drive in the lower house; only then may the administration defuse the political crisis to seriously tackle the economic crisis.
In a cliffhanger-heavy, extremely fluid scenario, there would be only two possible negotiated solutions: a sort of legal ersatz Parliamentarism, with Rousseff still as President, and Lula as a de facto Prime Minister; and an all-out ersatz Parliamentarism, with Lula in charge of all the government's political articulations.
A pact -- forged during "secret" dinners in Brasilia -- between the PSDB (the former social democrats turned neoliberal enforcers) and the PMDB party (the other major cog in the Workers' Party ruling coalition) has been sealed to kill both options. The PMDB, incidentally, is notorious for -- what else -- corrupt politicians, not as a governing entity.
All eyes are now on the Supreme Court and the -- wallowing in corruption -- Brazilian Congress. Lula, in the eye of the hurricane itself, is in the most unenviable position. He will need to use all his political capital and all his decades as a master negotiator to find a (political compromise) way out.
The Brazilian street remains totally radicalized; the logic (?) of blind hate prevails while virtually all instances of juridical or political mediation, not to mention plain, civilized common sense, have been frozen. Brazilian democracy -- one of the healthiest in the world -- is now being strangled by the warped python logic of a police state.
Which brings us to the tawdry scenario that might as well play out before summer. A cowardly, very conservative Congress expels Roussef from power; the Vice-President, PMDB's Temer, steps in, the country is "pacified" and the proverbial foreign investors, Wall Street, the Koch brothers in the US, hail the white coup; the Car Wash hysteria slowly -- and magically -- fades out because no way former opposition mandarins should be indicted or go to jail (that's only for the Workers' Party).
Kafka and the Dadaists to the rescue, again; this is exactly the "soft" regime change deal that has been clinched in Brasilia by a nasty combo; selected (corrupt) politicians bought and paid for by the Brazilian comprador elites; selected businessmen; a large part of a co-opted Judiciary; and corporate media (ruled by four families).
Call it white coup. Call it regime change. Call it the Brazilian color revolution. Without NATO. Without "humanitarian" imperialism. Without blood and zillions of US dollars lost, like in Iraq, Libya or Syria. So "clean." So "lawful." How come Empire of Chaos's theoreticians never thought about this before?
"Humanitarian" imperialism is so old Hillary; at least the Masters of the Universe will have a new template to apply all over the developing world. Happy -- regime change -- days are here again.
And forget about reading any of this on Western corporate media.
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