I realize that my very own articles have opined that the US does not have the conventional capability to deal with Iran if they started behaving aggressively, but we could certainly mount a number of different non-conventional type conflicts with Iran that would be horrific, both to Regional and Global stability, and to the poor Iranian people. We could follow-up cruise missile and air attacks of Iranian Air Force and anti-aircraft sites with sustained (I am talking about months of) B-52 carpet bomb attacks on Iranian population centers and military sites. We could add terrible munitions like napalm and fuel-air explosives to the mix. The conflict could descend into complete madness and we could end up using tactical or even strategic nuclear weapons against Iran. Again, what do the Iranians think they are gaining by provoking the Bush administration?
I have as much as said that one possibility is that they may think we are too bogged down in Iraq to do anything about their provocations, but I have shown the folly of that logic in the above paragraph. There is another possibility. After his election, Iranian President Ahmedinejad said, "Thanks to the blood of the martyrs, a new Islamic revolution has arisen and the Islamic revolution of XXXX (the current Islamic year) will, if God wills, cut off the roots of injustice in the world ... The wave of the Islamic revolution will soon reach the entire world." This is even more ominous when combined with one of his campaign statements, "We didn't participate in the revolution for turn-by-turn government ... This revolution tries to reach a world-wide government"
Similar to what I believe are the goals of Osama bin-Laden and Al-Qaeda, the above could indicate that Iran, or at least their new President and the Mullahs he supports, hope to initiate a World War with the West, i.e. US and its allies on one side and the 1.9 Billion believers of Islam on the other. There is little other sense to be made of Ahmedinejads statements and the actions of Iran under his leadership. Knowing that this might be the case; shouldnt this alter our reactions to Iranian provocations? Of course, I am just guessing with my theory, but regardless, shouldnt the US do everything short of appeasement to defuse the situation, prevent a further destabilization of the Middle East and the pushing of its peoples into the camp of the Radical Islamicists? We can but hope that between Condi and the rest of the people at State, there are enough people who realize the danger and enough people with the practical understanding to prevent a greater conflagration from erupting in the Middle East. So far, during this administration, they havent shown us much.