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NIE report from an Iranian perspective!!

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The NIE was correct in finding that Iran seems to have halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003. But what it failed to report was that the program had been relocated and restarted in 2004, according to the National Council of Resistance of Iran, which first unmasked Tehran's clandestine nuclear program in 2002.

In other words, if it were not for revelations by the Iranian opposition, the mullahs would have been much closer to obtaining nuclear weapons and a nuclear catastrophe would have been much more probable, and the war with this regime would have been inevitable.

There are several notable points in the report which have attracted speculations and more suspicions on the regimes motivation and just how successful the “incentives “ or “carrots “have been so far to prevent its leap for  nuclear arsenal.

-It properly points out that the clerical regime's "entities are continuing to develop a range of technical capabilities that could be applied to producing nuclear weapons, if a decision is made to do so." In addition, the clerical regime is exploring various "capabilities" in order to expand its nuclear activities in proper occasions, unless "intensified international scrutiny and pressures," would stop the regime's leaders and "keep Iran from eventually producing nuclear weapons."

-It reminds us that since Ahmadinejad's ascendancy to power, the regime has resumed its activities with setting up more centrifuges and "made significant progress in 2007, installing centrifuges at Natanz."

-It reiterates explicitly that the clerical regime "probably would use covert facilities - rather than its declared nuclear sites - for the production of highly enriched uranium for weapon. A growing amount of intelligence indicates Iran was engaged in covertly uranium conversion and uranium enrichment activity."

Despite the evident facts concluded above, this reports’ timely release has creating a rift in the decision to take the Iranian issue to the Security Council. I would even go further to say that, it has successfully accomplished what all hired lobbies and affiliates of the Iranian regime have not managed to do for the past years, after spending heavily on the campaign.

Back in the 1980s, Khomeini called war "a divine blessing because it rejuvenates the soul." Ideological fanaticism, notwithstanding, the bloody patriarch's zeal for war rested atop pragmatic grounds.

In general terms, the Iranian regime was founded and sustained by two objectives: Oppression at home and terrorism abroad. Any retreat from these objectives constitutes a red line for the mullahs. Unable to compromise on strategic matters, the regime needs to compensate by imposing itself on the world stage through other means. Put simply, it needs the bomb to survive.

The regime's ruthless crackdown at home as well as aggressive rhetoric and equally vile deeds beyond its borders make this abundantly clear. A Majlis (parliamentary) deputy, for example, boasted, "Every car that explodes in Iraq, postpones America's threats [toward the regime] for another month." Similarly, the state-run daily Kayhan noted, "The fate of our nuclear program will be determined not at the negotiating table, but in the streets of Beirut and Baghdad."

I believe we may be delusional by the nature and intentions of this regime but surely we can not turn a blind eye to the effects of this regime and its unique adaptation of political charlatanism, to extort votes in the International political scene to achieve what it needs to continue. It plays on the weak points of its counterparts very cleverly.

The rift caused by the report has definitely been to the advantage of the Iranian tyranny. But what kind of Tyranny are we talking of?

The so called “doves” or appeasers argue that isolating and pressuring the mullahs would encourage their vicious activities and make them more isolated from the International community.

The question is; “would you appease Hitler” and “welcome Chingize khan” at your side if history was to turn back? Would you doubt for a second that one caused the holocaust and the other massacred generations?

It is a known fact to all Iranians that, opening the floodgates by the West is to directly help the Revolutionary guards’ corps- the backbone of the Tehrans’ religious empire- and to give a green light for unprecedented suppression in Iran more clandestine nuclear activities. So If I might say so, we are not discussing behavioral pattern of a democratic or even semi- democratic Government. Any principles governing a dialogue between two democratic entities or even semi dictatorial regimes such as the Shahs and the West in the old times, is not necessarily going to work with the mullahs regime in which law has no factor and importance.

So I may say that I feel the only way to get rid of the menace is actually to press for harder sanction, get hold of the RGC and leave no breathing space for the tyranny. Every time we see the West provide an incentive, the reaction in Iran is interestingly exploited.

 

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http://www.iraniscc.info
I am a freelance journalist , researcher on effects of fundamentalism on women, member of ISCC research committee and the CSDHI institute for human rights.

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NIE report from an Iranian perspective!!