According to the latest Rasmussen Reports numbers, the anticipated Obama national bounce seems, instead, to be pointing John Edwards's way. The latest Rasmussen Daily Democratic Presidential tracking polls show that as of 1/6/2008, John Edwards has increased his percentage of likely US voters by +9 percentage points from 14% to 23%. This compares to Hillary Clinton's loss of -7 percentage points in the same period from 43% to 36% and Barack Obama's +1 point increase during the same period from 24% to 25%.
Rasmussen Reports Daily Democratic Candidates (1/6/08)
1/6/08 36% 25% 23%
1/5/08 38% 25% 20%
1/4/08 38% 26% 18%
1/3/08 41% 24% 17%
12/31/07-1/2/08 No polling - New Year's Holiday
12/30/07 42% 23% 16%
12/29/07 43% 24% 14%
NATIONAL AVERAGE: For the national race, Edwards’s improvement in the Rasmussen polling represents a +10.0% increase over the last six December polls averaged previously by Real Clear Politics. That same comparison shows Barack Obama with a -.75% decrease and Hillary Clinton with a –8.25% decrease in her national average--so all positive national movement in the Democratic Primary race seems to be in Edwards's favor.
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Edwards is also up 3.1% in New Hampshire over the past six polls averaged by Real Clear Politics. This is not as much as Obama, who’s up 8.7% in New Hampshire, but Hillary Clinton is down 4.8% during that same time.
NH Real Clear Politics Last Six Polls vs. Previous Six Polls
State Clinton Obama Edwards
New Hampshire -4.8% +8.7% +3.1%
The Concord Monitor poll also came out Saturday and showed Barack Obama increasing his standing by +1% to 34% since the Monitor’s last poll on Dec. 18, while Hillary Clinton increased her poll numbers by +2% to 33%--and John Edwards increased his position by 5% to 23% in the same time period.
So, Edwards is moving up significantly in New Hampshire as well--and may make a further move after a very strong debate performance on ABC on Saturday night.