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What If you Called 411 and The Crash Answered?

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Blessing
E Pluribus Unum
Annuit CÅ"ptis.

Sir Ben Shalom Bernanke & Sir Alan Greenspan Dialed 411,
Hold on, we will be shortly answering your call!

The Age of Turbulence.

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In fluid dynamics, turbulence or turbulent flow is a fluid regime characterized by chaotic, stochastic property changes. This includes low momentum diffusion, high momentum convection, and rapid variation of and velocity in space and time.It owns most of the discontinuous and chaotic properties of a Market Crash and of a Keynes' Liquidity Trap.

What If you Called 411 and The Crash Answered?

"Any intelligent fool can make things bigger, more complex, and more violent.
It takes a touch of genius -- and a lot of courage -- to move in the opposite direction"

Albert Einstein
March 14tn, 1879 -- April 18tn, 1955

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Abstract:

This Article is based on researches presented in The Tract Pro Bono.

The Tract Pro Bono explains the nature and causes of economic depressions.

It describes what are the necessary conditions for the occurrence of a crash and an economic depression.

It proposes a plausible alternative solution.

Because of the immediate necessity to inform The People about immediate dangers that face him, I have decided to give it for free. I am sacrificing its potential revenues for good.

The People are all those who will have subscribed to the free insurance.


The Tract Pro Bono has been written for the general public. To a certain extent reading it doesn't require any prior knowledge in economy.

Using a novel model of the shape of the yield curve It solves most of the puzzles of macro economy: among which, Growth, Unemployment, Under Development, International Division of Labour, Business Cycles, Stagflation, Greenspan Conundrum, The Price of Oil and Gold, Deflation, Keynes' Liquidity Trap, Asset Price Bubbles, Irrational Exuberance, Market Crashes & Economic Depression.

It proves that, accelerated by the previous period of Quantitative Easing, after a short period of exceptionally good economic conditions and Irrational Exuberance, which will inflate the Mother of All Asset Price Bubbles, we will have a Keynes' Liquidity Trap, The Crash and The Deep Depression.

It shows that no fiscal or monetary policy, will get the world out of The Deep Depression.

My Yield Curve determined that The Crash will take place on Friday, 18tn September 2009:


04:11 PM New York Time.

09:11 PM London Time.

11:11 PM Jerusalem Times.


Reminder: Friday September 18tn, 2009 is quadruple witching on the US financial Markets!

As they say on Wall Street sell at Roch Hashana buy at Kippur!

Friday, 18tn September 2009 is also Eid ul-Fitr.




What Does Quadruple Witching Mean?

A day on which contracts for stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock futures (SSF) all expire. This is similar to the triple witching hour, except that the quadruple witching hour sees also the expiry of SSFs. Quadruple witching days occur on the third Friday of March, June, September and December.

Although index futures and options generally share simultaneous expirations on the third Friday of every month, quadruple witching days only occur on the third Friday of every March, June, September, and December. The last hour of these trading days, from 3:00 to 4:00 PM EST, is referred to as the quadruple witching hour.

On quadruple witching days, and especially during quadruple witching hours, many investors attempt to unwind their positions in their futures and options contracts before the contracts expire. This activity frequently includes repurchasing contracts and closing out other positions meant to hedge against these contracts.


Why It Matters:

Quadruple witching days are usually accompanied by considerable volatility in stock and derivative prices, as well as increased trading volume. As a result, investors can anticipate and plan for the potential effects of these relatively turbulent trading days. because of the slope of the yield curve a small random shock will cause it to normalize discontinuously and a The Crash will develop.

Attention: The Crash will come after the witching hour when financial Markets will have behaved in an irrationally exuberant way and will have raised considerably: The Mother of All Asset Price Bubbles.

To be sure, this is a definitive version. Not a word will be changed from Monday 24th, August 2009 5:30 AM Jerusalem Time till The Crash: I swear, so to speak.


Table of Contents:


Preface.

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Introduction.

Strategy for The Crash.

The Prudent Strategy.

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blog.yield-curve.net
Shalom P. Hamou Tel Aviv, Ramat Aviv, Israel I am the youngest economist at My Yield Curve. Since spring of 1994 I have been working on economic depressions. I am writing The Tract The Religious Interpretation of (more...)
 

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