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On Debunking Hillary's Specious Claim about WTPV: A better Guesstimate

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I read with interest Rob Kall's two articles (April 1, 2016 and the recent update) on debunking the WTPV (Winning The Popular Vote) claim being made by Hillary Clinton. However, I still do not see a clear calculation of the difference in the popular votes cast in the caucus states. Please allow me to suggest a possible methodology of doing this and, perhaps, Mr. Kall will oblige us with a quick and rapid calculation - since he obviously has much of the data at this disposal.

Here's what I would do to arrive at a quick estimate. Let's look at the popular votes cast in the just last two elections won by Obama - both the votes cast for Obama and for Romney - in the same caucus states. This will tell us how many Democrats voted in the caucus states, with appropriate adjustments made for voter turnout in those caucus states (in the same primary versus general elections). Now, allocate the votes for the two democratic contenders by comparing the margins by which the two contenders (Obama and Hillary) won those same caucus states. This will permit a much better estimate of the actual votes that would be cast if the caucus states had also voted like the primary states did. I hope you can see what I am getting at. I look forward to these calculations, in the next day or two, or even before the end of the day.

Needless to say, with some refinements, this methodology can transform how we calculate "votes" that should be allocated to the winner in the caucus states. Cheers.


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On Debunking Hillary's Specious Claim about WTPV: A better Guesstimate

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