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Among a handful of Key Judgments of the November 2007 NIE were these:
"-We judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program;
"-We also assess with moderate-to-high confidence that Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons".
"-We assess with moderate confidence Tehran has not restarted its nuclear weapons program as of mid-2007, but we do not know whether it currently intends to develop nuclear weapons."
But that was more than two years ago, you say. What about now?
February 2010
In formal testimony to the Senate Intelligence Committee on February 2, Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair wore out the subjunctive mood in addressing Iran's possible plans for a nuclear weapon. His paragraphs were replete with dependent clauses, virtually all of them beginning with "if."
Blair repeated verbatim the 2007 judgment that Iran is "keeping the option open to develop nuclear weapons," and repeated the intelligence community's agnosticism on the $64 question: "We do not know, however, if Iran will eventually decide to build nuclear weapons."
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