The difference: 4.9%
Wisconsin was just one pivotal state. No surveys released this year from Wisconsin showed Trump with a lead. Wisconsin had not gone for the GOP nominee since 1984.
See also NC, flipping 5.9% and thus the state. Most NC polls before the election showed Clinton ahead or tied. (Source:
Look at Ohio, which was hanging on the slimmest of margins in the exit poll, and flipped 8.5% toward Trump. Trump's win margin, 8.6% points, represented a 12% point swing from the last election, where Mitt Romney lost the state by 3% points.
Look at Florida, favoring Clinton by 1.3%, flipping 2.6% toward Trump.
Look at Pennsylvania, where Clinton led the exit polls by 4.4%. It did a 5.6% flip toward Trump, giving him a reported win just over 1%. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations reported Pennsylvania would be either a toss-up or was leaning Democrat. The reported results have PA going for the Republican candidate for the first time since 1988.
MNis the only one that went the other way, a flip of 1.6%.
Electoral votes for the states mentioned: Wisconsin 10, NC 15, OH 18, FL 29, PA 20.
Just those five flipped states represent 92 electoral votes. If those vote tallies went to Clinton, the final tally would be 324 for Clinton to 214 for Trump. (Clinton: 232 + 92 or 324 electoral votes. Trump's reported electoral votes would be reduced from 306 to 214.)
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