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Pakistan Likely To Face More Trouble In Future

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First and foremost, there is no clear sign as yet that Musharraf would be open to advice in crucial areas of national security and foreign policy that are fuelling our larger domestic crisis. Appointment of General Ashfaq Kayani as the new army chief may however be the first step towards the army accepting a less monopolistic and more nuanced role in decision-making.

Secondly, PMLQ is led by people with an obsessive distrust of Bhutto. Their main political effort recently has been to oppose Bhutto’s demands such as the abolition of Article 58(2) b that would have been of benefit to the political class as a whole. Would she be able to convert them to real empowerment of the people and parliament?

Third, Bhutto has been away for a long time and needs to re-connect with the people. What she has been saying to the Americans has not always gone done well in Pakistan. In the case of AQ Khan, her remarks were deliberately distorted by her opponents. She also needs to avoid framing the ongoing contest between moderates and extremists in Manichean terms. Her policy towards India is lucid and persuasive but not so when it comes to the crisis in the broader Middle East which includes Iran.

A free and fair election has its own perils but nothing else will save Pakistan. A credible restoration of authentic representative institutions could possibly bring back at least some of the contentious issues within the ambit of democratic mediation and accommodation. It may also make the idea of national reconciliation more meaningful.

Pakistan has a long history of pre-determining the outcome of elections. The regime must resist this temptation. It is also important to remove the impression that Sharif was exiled again to strike a “deal” with Bhutto. She is capable of holding her own in a free election if it is held in a level playing field. We should also be wary of a coalition that locks out sub-regional and sub-national parties which have gained strength over the years and are at present out of sync with the project. What they stand for is important.
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Muhammad Khurshid, a resident of Bajaur District, tribal areas situated on Pak-Afghan border is journalist by profession. He contributes articles and news stories to various online and print newspapers. His subject matter is terrorism. He is (more...)
 

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