c. Cyber warfare: We haven't seen the massive cyberattacks that we expected. But Russia has. This week Aviation News (Click Here ) reported a massive hack: "A powerful and effective cyberattack on the Russian Federal Air Transport Agency (Rosaviatsia) infrastructure that took place on Saturday morning has erased all documents, files, aircraft registration data and mails from the servers. In total, about 65 terabytes of data was erased." This suggests that we will see an escalation of cyber attacks. The war will directly impact US security.
c. Climate Change: The Russian invasion of Ukraine is a disaster for the climate change movement. The constant Russian shelling has dire consequences -- along with the use of mines and other weapons aimed at civilians.
Because there will be an energy "panic" in Europe, there will be enormous pressure in North America to produce as much oil as possible, so we can ship a lot of it to the EU -- to replace the oil no longer provided by Russia.
d. Accidents: the longer the war continues, the greater the probability that Putin will do something horrible. It's seems increasingly likely that Russian forces will damage a Ukrainian nuclear plant and cause a massive radiation leak (Click Here). Sadly, it's within the realm of possibility that Putin -- because he is a thug, who is playing a losing hand -- will use tactical nuclear weapons or biological or chemical weapons.
Summary: If this analysis seems gloomy, it is. The Russia-Ukraine conflict is going to stretch on; there's little hope for a quick diplomatic solution. There are all kinds of sinister side affects. Putin made a big mistake, but he's incapable of admitting it.
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