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OpEdNews Op Eds    H3'ed 9/26/16

True Believers and the U.S. Election

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"Trump captivated them with words that were alternately desperate and violent: 'Our country is going to hell...We're sitting on a very big, fat, ugly, bubble...We're like the lap dog for the world...Drugs are pouring across...They're chopping off heads...You see so many people being killed...The jobs are being sucked out...We're losing with everybody.' "Twice he said that in a Trump presidency they could 'relax' while he defeated the Islamic State and beat the world in trade. 'We're gonna become rich again,' he promised. 'We're gonna become great again.' From the passionate cheers sounding around me, I knew they believed him." Part III -- Allied Groups The true believers are not the only people who will vote for Donald Trump. There will be some Republicans who will vote that party ticket not really knowing or caring who is representing it. They are "knee-jerk" party loyalists whose family and friends have been Republicans for generations and vote that way, literally out of habit (the Democrats have their own version of this phenomenon). There are allied constituencies of fanatics such as fundamentalist Christians who hate alleged Democratic atheists and there are neo-anarchists who hate the federal government. And then there are those who are just confused. They have their complaints that seem never to be addressed, they witness repetitive scandals and corruption, and all of this tempts them to vote for the candidate who promises to bring "real" change. All of these allied groups will vote for Mr. Trump. However, Trump himself seems most bonded to his true believer supporters, and this makes him all the more dangerous. Perhaps the source of that bond is the fact that the true believers don't care about constitutional protections and the rule of law, and one gets the sense that neither do Mr. Trump and his close advisers. Will all these discontented people be enough to get Mr. Trump elected? Perhaps. The probability goes up or down to the extent that the Democrats do or don't manage to turn out a sufficient number of their own supporters on election day. In other words, the contest is Hillary Clinton's to lose. Part IV -- Consequences There is the question of just how much damage can Trump (and his followers) do regardless of whether he is elected. If he is elected he may be able to enact his destructive policies or he may be hemmed in by a Congress that will be less radical and by governors who are more cautious. If he is not elected, how much of a reaction will there be? There will certainly be accusations that the election was stolen from him, that the fix was in and the Democrats cheated. The true believers will truly believe this. They will grumble and maybe take to the streets in a scattered, uncoordinated way. There might be some intermingling here with supporters of Bernie Sanders, some of whom can also qualify as disappointed true believers. But then, most likely, the true believers will retreat back into the fringes of society to await the next charismatic leader who can rally them. And, given both traditional parties' (Republicans and Democrats) historical inability to reform the country's capitalist, imperialist and racist ways of doing things, that next time is bound to come.

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Lawrence Davidson is a history professor at West Chester University in Pennsylvania. He is the author of Foreign
Policy Inc.: Privatizing America's National Interest
; America's
Palestine: Popular and Offical Perceptions from Balfour to Israeli
Statehood
; and Islamic Fundamentalism. His academic work is focused on the history of American foreign relations with the Middle East. He also teaches courses in the history of science and modern European intellectual history.

His blog To The Point Analyses now has its own Facebook page. Along with the analyses, the Facebook page will also have reviews, pictures, and other analogous material.

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