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Time-bomb is ticking. How dangerous is the "explosive inheritance" of Transnistria?

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Kirilo Sakhniuk
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Mainly due to the Ukraine crisis there is growing concern in the Moldovan capital Chisinau that the weapons could be used in a military conflict. The former Moldovan Defense Minister Vitalie Marinuta in an interview with DW said that since the expiration date of the weapons has expired, the depots should be under international scrutiny. According to him, these measures will help prevent weapons from falling into the hands of foreign militants. A study by the Moldovan Academy of Sciences has warned that the impact of an explosion of the depots would be "equivalent to the atomic bombs from Hiroshima and Nagasaki".

The format and way of control does not matter. The only and most rational way to get rid of dangerous ammunition in a depot in the Cobasna village is to dispose of them at the appropriate factories in Transnistria. Because the contents of military warehouses are not suitable for transportation.

What happens if there are attempts to seize ammunition depots?

Since the beginning of the armed conflict in Ukraine, Kyiv has concentrated its forces on the border with Transnistria several times. This created some tension, but it did not come to an invasion.

"Ukraine has not yet attacked Transnistria only because Transnistria is de jure, internationally, part of the Republic of Moldova. But if Transnistria were independent, the Ukrainians would have attacked long ago. Therefore, there is a threat, but they need the consent of Chisinau." - former Moldovan President Igor Dodon

It can be assumed that there will be attempts from Ukraine or Moldova to seize ammunition depots.

There are about a thousand Russian soldiers and officers in Transnistria. They are involved in the peacekeeping operation and guard depots in Cobasna. In addition, there is a small army of Transnistria, as well as parts of the 14th army of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation: according to some sources, its number is more than 6 thousand people. Therefore, it will not be possible to take the arsenal so easily. And that's not the most dangerous thing. The fact is that any fighting near it can lead to the detonation of ammunition.

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Hello. My name is Kirilo Sakhniuk. I am a freelance journalist, political analyst, blogger. I believe that every opinion should be heard. My articles contain only my view on the problem. Do not judge strictly, because all people are different, (more...)
 

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