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The Suspect Massachusetts 2016 Primary

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Theodore Soares
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*As demographics alone may not explain the large discrepancy between the hand counted precincts and the computerized count of the rest of the state, the weighting factors applied to the Democratic Party exit poll may also be incorrect and even the exit poll underestimated Sanders' win. The raw exit poll data, prior to their alteration with weighting factors, should be made available for forensic analysis (see e.g., paper published by the Shorenstein Center, Harvard Kennedy Center, p.19. Exit Polls: Better or Worse Since the 2000 Election?). The accuracy of the Republican Party exit polls suggests that the correct weighting factors were applied to the Republican electorate.

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