Warren Commission apologists who troll the online forums jump through illogical hoops in their attempts to debunk the probability calculations. But their arguments just prove the case for conspiracy. They agree that the math is correct, but argue that the data is invalid. They claim that the 1400+ witnesses and scores of unlikely deaths were self-selected and not a random group. Of course it is not a random group - by definition. That is precisely the point.
Witnesses who were called to testify before the 1964 Warren Commission, the 1969 Clay Shaw trial and the 1977 HSCA were obviously not self-selected. Neither were the 1400 in the "Who's Who" reference; they were all related in some way to the JFK assassination - suspects, victims, witnesses, law enforcement officials and investigators. It is not just a coincidence that an impossible number of them died unnaturally. There are only a few dozen that were missed in the "Who's Who", but even some of these died unnaturally. The only rational conclusion is that many JFK-related witnesses had inside information that would expose the crime and coverup. That's why they died unnaturally in numbers that defied the unnatural death mortality tables.
PROBABILITY CALCULATIONS
N witnesses, at least n unnatural deaths, T years, P odds
Who's Who Reference: N= 1400, n>=15, T= 1, P = 1 in 167 trillion
Who's Who Reference: N= 1400, n>=33 (exact), T= 3, P = 137 trillion trillion
HSCA FBI N=20 (est.), n>=6 (4 natural), T= 6 months, P = 1 in 784 million
1400 JFK-related Witnesses
T = 3 years
p = 0.000542 = unnatural mortality rate
n = 33 unnatural, suspicious deaths; Expected a= 2.3 = p*N*T
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