"Recent polls suggest that President Trump is facing the same basic challenge that confronted the Republican Party in the 2018 midterms: a majority of voters don’t like him or approve of the job he is doing. In a highly polarized society, where most voters have already made up their minds about Trump one way or the other, that’s what you’d expect. Still, the bias in the Electoral College toward Republicans is very real. Even if Biden wins the popular vote, the election outcome could come down to a handful of swing states, particularly in the Rust Belt. These states are where the Trump campaign is concentrating its efforts, but the latest polling data emerging from them is mixed for him, at best."