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Devastating Cross Tabs Destroy the Pew Poll Favoring Romney Over Obama

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Headlined to H2 10/9/12

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crossposted from dailykos

by Gamblndan

Courtesy of @Jeffersonobama on Twitter who you should all follow, here are some interesting cross tabs of the new Pew poll.

Just for reference first,    

In the 2010 election, there wasn't any more enthusiastic group then the Republicans and any more under enthusiastic group then the Democrats...yet in that year the Voter Turnout was 36% Dem  36% Republican and we got hammered worse then ever in my lifetime...

In 2008 Dems were very enthusiastic and Republicans not so much.  Dem turnout was 39%, and republicans turnout was 31% and Obama won by 6%.

So I know Dems might not be quite as Enthusiastic as they were in 08, and I know the Republicans arent as enthusiastic as they were in 2010, yet Pew had a likely Voter model in their poll of Republicans +3%.

For perspective, in the history on modern polling there has never been an election where R's outnumbered D's.  Not even 2010!   So a +3 Republican likely voter model they are using is totally suspect to begin with because there are so many more Democrats in the country then Democrats.

I'm not saying its 2008, but I feel a lot more enthusiasm this year then I felt in 2010!!

Now I'm no conspiracy theorist, but thats just common sense.

In the pew poll

68% of LV polled were over 50 years old.

Only 30% of the poll was 18-49 year olds, and they were 57% of the vote in 2008

Media & Pew Narrative is that only white men over 50 will vote.

Only 12% of voters polled were non white and no latino's in pew poll is correct.  Most figure Non white vote will be 28% Hispanics were 9% of the electorate in 2008.

78% white in the Pew Poll while 74% white in 2008 and 77% in 2004

Here were the Participants by Region

Northeast 201
Midwest  271
South 417  **
West 223

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articles reprinted from Dailykos.com
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I must be living in an alternative universe as the... by D W on Wednesday, Oct 10, 2012 at 10:22:03 AM
Like the one in 2010?... by BFalcon on Wednesday, Oct 10, 2012 at 10:46:59 PM
that the progressive cudgel you see being wielded ... by John Sanchez Jr. on Thursday, Oct 11, 2012 at 7:05:35 AM
Do the letters SCOTUS mean anything to you? D... by Lynne Kringler on Friday, Oct 12, 2012 at 6:30:08 AM
having long understood that poll results are often... by John Sanchez Jr. on Thursday, Oct 11, 2012 at 7:29:12 AM
Once again, an article here has me scratching my h... by Alex Howard on Friday, Oct 12, 2012 at 10:38:51 AM
That the article simply says that the Republicans ... by BFalcon on Friday, Oct 12, 2012 at 10:12:14 PM