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Ron Paul takes lead In Iowa, Newt Gingrich falls off cliff

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Headlined to H4 12/19/11

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Reprinted from Dailykos.com


Newt Gingrich, in happier times for his campaign, shakes Ron Paul's hand
 
PPP's tracking poll finds a new leader in Iowa:



And Nate Silver's model now forecasts a Ron Paul victory:
The model gives him a 44 percent chance of winning Iowa based on the current standing of the candidates and the historic uncertainty of polling-based forecasts. Mr. Romney has a 32 percent chance of winning, while Mr. Gingrich's chances have crashed to 15 percent.

If these numbers hold through January 3 (and given how much things have already changed, that's an enormous if), then Mitt Romney is about to get exactly what he hoped for in Iowa: finishing ahead of any candidate that has a legitimate shot at winning the Republican nomination. But even though the Republican establishment is probably letting loose a big sigh of relief today, there's still two more weeks for all hell to break loose.

ORIGINALLY POSTED TO   DAILY KOS ELECTIONS   ON MON DEC 19, 2011 AT 07:45 AM PST.

ALSO REPUBLISHED BY DAILY KOS.

 

articles reprinted from Dailykos.com
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I just gave the RP Campaign $25. I can't vote for ... by Elizabeth Hanson on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 11:47:02 AM
Have you considered Rocky Anderson? Maddow intervi... by larry payne on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 12:11:57 PM
The urls were too long and I guess I don't know ho... by larry payne on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 12:18:16 PM
I"d vote for Rocky Anderson too.... by Elizabeth Hanson on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 12:18:56 PM
Don't forget Gary Johnson.  He's at 1-2% but ... by Dawn Owens on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 8:56:42 PM
time for bed... :-(... by Dawn Owens on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 8:58:43 PM
Even Kos is falling for the tired old media line t... by June Genis on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 11:49:54 AM
I'm very happy to see Paul's increased rating, hao... by madranger on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 11:53:20 AM
Newt loves illegals (amnesty) more than American... by Lorring II on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 12:19:05 PM
why you posted a link to a piece of 9/11 fiction h... by Maxwell on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 1:00:03 PM
Ted Guertin spells it out. We are a corrupt nation... by Elizabeth Hanson on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 1:02:49 PM
which leaves any inkling whatsoever of him being a... by Michael Shaw on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 1:46:31 PM
Obama: -      &n... by Ted Guertin on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 12:26:56 PM
before I heard Rocky Anderson talk about his third... by larry payne on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 1:58:23 PM
Ron Paul can come in First place for the next 6 co... by Taylor on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 1:23:43 PM
is flooding Iowa with negative infomercials on New... by Michael Shaw on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 1:39:57 PM
Ron Paul has no plans to end SS and Medicare. He s... by marko polo on Tuesday, Dec 20, 2011 at 5:55:12 AM
concerning Social Security. Historically he has of... by Michael Shaw on Wednesday, Dec 21, 2011 at 12:26:08 AM
Sure we know his opinion on it being un-constituti... by Michael Dewey on Wednesday, Dec 21, 2011 at 5:58:42 AM
His plans and his commentary are both well documen... by Michael Shaw on Wednesday, Dec 21, 2011 at 12:53:21 PM
He stated it would take the people to want out. &n... by Michael Dewey on Thursday, Dec 22, 2011 at 2:01:25 AM
Once that happens, how will "we" do anything? As I... by Michael Shaw on Monday, Dec 26, 2011 at 8:56:32 PM
A Ron Paul/Dennis Kucinich slate is viable. Paul h... by Luis Magno on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 1:52:23 PM
Ron Paul + Dennis Kucinch! All we need is jobs, ci... by Elizabeth Hanson on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 2:13:19 PM
if we're going to swallow the "poison" and back a ... by GLloyd Rowsey on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 2:22:24 PM
The Democratic/Republican political duopoly spells... by Luis Magno on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 3:31:19 PM
Ms. Jordan's race will outweigh the fact she's a w... by GLloyd Rowsey on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 4:05:54 PM
I neither said nor implied such racist nonsense. Y... by Luis Magno on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 4:52:58 PM
You said nothing about Barbara Jordan, or any othe... by GLloyd Rowsey on Sunday, Dec 25, 2011 at 7:34:56 AM
In my mind he has always been a member of a corrup... by larry payne on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 8:26:36 PM
The idea is to bring patriots together from across... by Luis Magno on Tuesday, Dec 20, 2011 at 9:59:06 AM
Dennis Kucinich. If he ever ran with Ron Paul, how... by Michael Shaw on Wednesday, Dec 21, 2011 at 12:56:43 PM
Here is the deal.  A generous portion of the ... by Lester Shepherd on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 4:10:33 PM
As I  noted many times, we can not leave free... by Ray Tapajna on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 4:13:05 PM
Paul IS a Free Trade Ideologue??????????... by Lester Shepherd on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 4:34:27 PM
If Ron Paul became a third party candidate and ran... by Ray Tapajna on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 4:44:31 PM
GOP voters are not happy with anyone yet. Ron Paul... by sebra leaves on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 8:12:38 PM
makes me very happy. I have faith in Ron Paul beca... by linda jordan on Monday, Dec 19, 2011 at 11:44:58 PM
The 2000 and 2004 elections proved that beyond any... by LeftWright on Tuesday, Dec 20, 2011 at 1:13:37 AM
provides for "shadow government"?... by John Sanchez Jr. on Tuesday, Dec 20, 2011 at 4:34:35 PM
a demonstration of the efficacy of Ron Paul market... by John Sanchez Jr. on Tuesday, Dec 20, 2011 at 10:16:36 AM
the civil rights act in 1964. Also his support of ... by Michael Shaw on Wednesday, Dec 21, 2011 at 1:38:25 AM
is knowing Ron Paul will not run on an independent... by Michael Shaw on Wednesday, Dec 21, 2011 at 12:48:45 AM
the whole system is broken, the two party oliarchy... by Anuel Jackson on Wednesday, Dec 21, 2011 at 4:26:45 AM
I am well into my 50's, almost 60. I was a registe... by linda jordan on Wednesday, Dec 21, 2011 at 4:19:10 AM
conversation. The people I was conversing with are... by Michael Shaw on Wednesday, Dec 21, 2011 at 1:12:00 PM
  No matter who wins in 2012, by the end of ... by Michael Dewey on Thursday, Dec 22, 2011 at 2:19:51 AM
how you feel. I join you in your dislike of the Bu... by linda jordan on Thursday, Dec 22, 2011 at 9:09:40 AM
I happen to know plenty about Ron Paul and by the ... by Michael Shaw on Monday, Dec 26, 2011 at 8:29:52 PM