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April 16, 2008 at 13:22:14

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Explosive Food Inflation-- The Big Presidential Issue?

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By Rob Kall (about the author)     Page 1 of 2 page(s)

opednews.com     Permalink

For OpEdNews: Rob Kall - Writer

Could the price and availability of food become one of the 2008 campaign's biggest issues? Or maybe, we should be asking, why the explosive inflation in food prices is not already THE issue.

Associated Press reports, Food Costs Rising Fastest in 17 Years ". Eggs cost 25 percent more in February than they did a year ago, according to the USDA. Milk and other dairy products jumped 13 percent, chicken and other poultry nearly 7 percent."

Bad policies, supported at a bi-partisan level, have dramatically aggravated an already serious problem. In the US, wheat suppliers are talking about rationing wheat to bakeries.


Today's New York Times, in an article which discusses the emergency nature of the need for solutions to the growing shortages of affordable food, says,
"Wheat prices have risen by 130 percent since March of last year, and soy prices have risen 87 percent, the United Nations said, with food now representing 60 percent to 80 percent of consumer spending in developing countries. In general, the World Bank has said that food prices have climbed about 83 percent worldwide over the past three years.


The Times article reports that this has "set off violent protests in Haiti, Egypt, Uzbekistan, Yemen, the Philippines, Thailand, Indonesia and even Italy."


A perfect storm of bad policies in several arenas has produced this disaster that is already well under way. These are generally policies that continue to be supported by both Democrats and Republicans in congress. That situation is going to have to change, and fast, because the perfect storm is still building in size, power and threat. If it was a hurricane, like Katrina, it would still be out at sea, but threatening to soon hit land.

In the US, where food costs represent the lowest percentage of income than anywhere else, the "bite" has not been nearly as bad, at 4% increase overall, in the costs of food. But that could and will change as the confluence of factors causing it worsen.

The NY Times article says,
"Major agricultural countries must urgently change their policies to avoid a social explosion from rising food prices, a panel of United Nations experts warned Tuesday, adding their voices to new concerns about the proper balance between saving the environment and feeding the poor.

"Modern agriculture will have to change radically if the international community wants to cope with growing populations and climate change, while avoiding social fragmentation and irreversible deterioration of the environment," said Salvatore Arico, a biodiversity specialist with the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, or Unesco, summarizing the report by about 400 experts.

The report tries to provide a comprehensive view on how to produce food that is less dependent on fossil fuels; favors locally available resources, natural fertilizers and traditional seeds; and tries to preserve the soil and water supply.



Decreasing the Dollar's Value; good for exports and balance of trade, bad for Food Prices in the US and Worldwide.
In the US, as is the case for any countries whose currencies ride with the dollar, food prices are rising as the value of the dollar continues to plummet. There are two reasons this impacts the US. The biggest one is that the price of US food looks cheaper and cheaper as the Euro and other currencies rise in value in proportion to the dollar, making US Wheat and other food exports more attractive to foreign nations. That raises the prices in the US and makes less food available.

For foreign nations whose currencies are tied to the dollar, they are competing with other currencies now worth more, and that is driving up their costs for food, and potentially could motivate them to abandon the dollar. That will surely accelerate the dollar's decline and food prices in the US.

Cellulosic Ethanol, mostly from Corn-- a rotten idea
Then we have ethanol from corn. This failed idea is still being subsidized and encouraged as a good solution to the energy crisis. It will go down in history as one of the monumental bad ideas. What seems like a good idea has turned out to be a disastrous one that has raised corn and corn product prices, like that ubiquitous sweetener, corn syrup, massively. And farmers, to take advantage of the higher prices that corn brings, are converting wheat and other crop fields to corn fields, thus decreasing availability and raising prices for other foods. Lester Brown, president of the Earth Policy Institute, reported, in 2006, that the ethanol to fill one SUV's gas tank requires enough corn to feed a person for a full year, saying,
" it is a battle between the world's 800 million automobile owners, who want to maintain their mobility, and the world's 2 billion poorest people, who simply want to survive.

Whenever the food value of a crop drops below its fuel value, the market will convert it into fuel. Ultimately, this dynamic risks driving up world food prices, destabilizing governments in low-income nations and disrupting global economic growth."


Yet Obama and Hillary still support funding more ethanol production, according to their website policy pages. While the McCain website does not even include Energy as an issue, David Brooks, in the NY Times, reported, in February,
"In 2000, McCain ran for president and reiterated his longstanding opposition to ethanol subsidies. Though it crippled his chances in Iowa, he argued that ethanol was a wasteful giveaway. A recent study in the journal Science has shown that when you take all impacts into consideration, ethanol consumption increases greenhouse gas emissions compared with regular gasoline. Unlike, say, Barack Obama, McCain still opposes ethanol subsidies."

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Rob Kall is executive editor, publisher and site architect of OpEdNews.com, Host of the Rob Kall Bottom Up Radio Show (WNJC 1360 AM), President of Futurehealth, Inc, (more...)
 

The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author
and do not necessarily reflect those of this website or its editors.

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I guess the conspiracy theory by john riggs on Wednesday, Apr 16, 2008 at 3:05:07 PM
Yikes... by drew nevins on Wednesday, Apr 16, 2008 at 4:00:23 PM
The Plan to Depopulate is Now Visible to Everyone by Larry Dicken on Wednesday, Apr 16, 2008 at 4:46:29 PM
Three squares and a roof over your head by Margaret Bassett on Wednesday, Apr 16, 2008 at 4:55:15 PM
Four Per Cent Increase you Say? by Char Stellamaris on Wednesday, Apr 16, 2008 at 7:18:13 PM
The elite don't care by Deano on Wednesday, Apr 16, 2008 at 8:09:50 PM
eat your heart out by Wolfie on Thursday, Apr 17, 2008 at 2:45:15 AM
Its been happening for over a year now by Gallaher on Wednesday, Apr 16, 2008 at 8:17:18 PM
Soylent Red, White and Blue by Ed Encho on Thursday, Apr 17, 2008 at 5:29:10 AM
Not enough Corn? by Mary Hodgman on Thursday, Apr 17, 2008 at 6:55:11 AM
hemp and organics by Better World Order on Thursday, Apr 17, 2008 at 10:07:48 AM

 
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