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Pennacchio Rising, Casey Falling in Stats Based on Sample of Millions

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opednews.com

Back in June of 1993, moveon/org held an "internet primary" for the declared Democratic presidential candidates. I had been tracking them using alexa.com (owned by amazon.com) which tracks ranking of the top six million websites. I analyzed the data to predict the winner. My analysis showed Howard Dean would win, but would not win by 50%, which would have gotten him a fundraiser from Moveon.org. Here's a link to the original article, making the prediction (apologies for site design. OpEdNews was only a few months old) OpEdNews "Internet Exit Polltm" Results for The MoveOn.org Democratic Primary: And the Winner Is:


I called the Dean headquarters, gave them the news and they had a party that night. The next day, they called me back to congratulate me. My analysis of the website info had predicted the Dean win within less than one percent of the final tally. I wrote another article that day, detailing how the prediction was made. Internet Exit Polling; How We Did.

So, here I am, almost three years later, having run a real poll, with Zogby, and I though, why not check the old alexa.com stats. So I did, It shows Pennacchio in the lead with casey falling further behind. This is based on millions of web visitors and is in spite of all the media coverage Casey has received in comparison with Pennacchio and Sandals.
Today 1 wk. Avg. 3 mos. Avg. 3 mos. Change
Chuck-------N/A*----678,048-------1,102,132____ 1,216,162
Casey-------N/A*----1,011,483-----1,142,772____ 624,572
Sandals-----N/A*_______ --________1,652,307____ 315,581


You can do this if you want. It's not rocket science. First, go to alexa.com and download their toolbar. That's the easy way. Some say it's spyware because it sends back to alexa.com info on where you browse. They use that info to track millions of web surfers. Then they rank websites based on which ones get the most visits.

You don't have to use the toolbar. You can just go to alexa.com and plug in each web address you want to check out. It will provide you with stats on the site you are checking out.

I'll be keeping tabs on the three senate candidate sites in the next few days, as we come closer to the primary.

 

Rob Kall is executive editor, publisher and site architect of OpEdNews.com, Host of the Rob Kall Bottom Up Radio Show (WNJC 1360 AM), President of Futurehealth, Inc, more...)
 

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