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March 29, 2008 at 09:31:09
War with Iran May Have Begun with Offensive in Iraq by bhwhite Page 2 of 3 page(s) 
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US circumstantial elements: * According to a New York Times report on March 28, 2008, Bush attended "three days of briefings with senior advisers and military commanders on the situation in Iraq and the options for reducing the number of American troops there beyond the withdrawals already announced." Given Bush's limited attention span, his attending three days of briefings to discuss planned withdrawals is unbelievable, with plans to attack Iran the far more likely three day topic. * As soon as the Iraqi operations began in Basra, Bush immediately and personally praised the Iraqi government for its actions, appearing to be part of planned propaganda offensive; * In the same report, Bush described the operation in Basra as an "offensive" that "builds on the security gains of the surge"; 
* Finally, the same New York Times report says, "Mr. Bush also accused Iran of arming, training and financing the militias fighting against the Iraqi forces";
* Admiral Fallon's removal takes effect March 31, 2008;
* US Treasury Department undermines Iranian international banking operations.
What are the likely next steps toward an attack on Iran?
* Continuing the current tactical thrust of preemptive strikes against those likely to respond in an attack on Iran, major US military operations on the Iraq-Iran and Iraq-Syria border areas are very likely;
* Various Iranian assets within Iraq will likely be targeted by US and Iraqi government operations;
* Israel may attack Hamas in Gaza as well as Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria;
* The likelihood of a US-Iran naval incident continues.
Overall, US and Iraqi government forces are expected to continue a general offensive against the Mahdi Army in violation of the six month cease-fire, while claiming Iran is responsible for attacks on US forces. Finally, if a bit of tea reading can be forgiven, Bush's confidence and high spirits this week appear to be of the "I have decided" sort. The relief seen just prior to the Iraq invasion: Where he decided to go to war, so the hard part was over, for him, as he sleep like a baby, having made what was arguably the worst strategic blunder in American history.
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Note to Reader: Given our conclusion that an attack on Iran is likely before the end of May, it seems appropriate to release near-term assessments of events as they develop, rather than waiting for additional data and time for a more mature appreciation of the situation.
This document is updated frequently, see the Most Up-To-Date Version available at its originating site.
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War with Iran May Have Begun with Offensive in Iraq
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| 7 comments |
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Sounds Very Convincing
I hope it spins out of control and blows up in the Empire's face, making further aggression less appealing. by Harold Smith (0 articles, 3 quicklinks, 2 diaries, 556 comments [1 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Saturday, Mar 29, 2008 at 11:42:41 AM  (0+)
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I hope the Iranian people would get ...
I only hear the chartings in recent demonstrations in Iran. Voices not echoed- strangely enough, by writers as responsible as you yourself. These voices in student demonstrations and workers and teachers and even in the previous petrol riots have been shouting loud and clear for “regime change!". This, I think is not because some say that lobbies are at work to change this regime. NO WAY. It is merle a repetition of history in Iran. When there is an illegitimate tyranny, then there would be change sooner or later, and no appeaser and no lobby could stop it. by stevehs (1 articles, 0 quicklinks, 1 diaries, 4 comments) on Saturday, Mar 29, 2008 at 11:51:14 AM (0+)
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Reply: And your point is?
His article was about the U.S. getting ready to make war against Iran, not about people protesting against the Iranian government. by Harold Smith (0 articles, 3 quicklinks, 2 diaries, 556 comments [1 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Saturday, Mar 29, 2008 at 12:10:47 PM (0+)
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we can stop this
thoughts and prayers work --every one of us at bed time should think that the nukes and bombs of this world do not work anymore and will not work again and that people should love each other for this is our world and we deserve a safe and kind world---------------or do nothing and see----- by TRADESMAN (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 12 diaries, 335 comments [40 recommended, 1 rejected]) on Saturday, Mar 29, 2008 at 7:53:09 PM (0+)
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We armed these "enemies" too...
Bremmer made a deal with these same people, paying them 320 million dollars.... Knowing they would use the cash to arm themselves. Another example of the bush regime going out of its way to insure there will be never-ending war in the region. by Steve Windisch (jibbguy) (17 articles, 0 quicklinks, 4 diaries, 360 comments [54 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Saturday, Mar 29, 2008 at 9:15:21 PM (0+)
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Stop whatever else you're doing ...
I don't care what it is, we must stop an attack on Iran! Stop campaigning - stop working - stop making love and stop this attack! It's that important ... by Mr M (8 articles, 0 quicklinks, 66 diaries, 2845 comments [654 recommended, 27 rejected]) on Saturday, Mar 29, 2008 at 11:15:40 PM (0+)
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attacking iran?
While I am very much encouraged by the spirit of solidarity shown here, I must question the conclusions of the article since the current attack on Al Sadr's militia's is basically an attack against Iraqi nationalism. This is a conflict over the coming elections in Iraq, and Maliki is trying to wipe out the opposition before the vote is held with active US support as well as tacit Iranian support. It does not look like a prelude for an attack on Iran. I am increasingly convinced that the US and Iran are working closely together in Iraq despite all the rhetoric. by Niloufar Parsi (4 articles, 0 quicklinks, 9 diaries, 83 comments) on Sunday, Mar 30, 2008 at 1:38:57 AM (0+)
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