As any campaign expert will tell you, short of the economy tanking, carving off chunks of Obama's support is the best way to guarantee Republicans beat Obama. Ron Paul is the only candidate positioned to do this.
THE YOUTH VOTE
The youth vote which Obama won by 34% in 2008 is abandoning him. Ron Paul has proven strong appeal with the young voters. He is by far the best candidate capable of not only appealing to this demographic but energizing it towards defeating Obama. Anyone who thinks the youth vote will abandon Obama for one of the other candidates is kidding themselves. This is one of Obama's Achilles heals and ONLY Ron Paul can not only exploit it - but use it against Obama.
Most Americans think that with Bin Laden dead, our job is done and we should bring the troops home. Obama is vulnerable on this issue against Ron Paul. Any other GOP candidate will galvanize these supporters to Obama. Ron Paul is the ONLY candidate who appeals to these voters disenchanted with Obama - carving away votes.
76% of Americans agree with RP that the federal war on drugs is a failure, in fact, only 8% think it has been a success. 89% of the people who voted for Obama 4 years ago believe the war on drugs is a failure. Ron Paul is the ONLY candidate who is positioned to cleave off a chunk of these Obama supporters. Any other GOP candidate will galvanize these supporters to Obama.
A record number of Americans do not trust politicians. Obama is a status qua politician, Romney is the poster child of insider politician. Ron Paul is the anti-politician and a doctor - and Americans have a high level of trust in doctors. The media and elites hate him. Ron Paul is the candidate who can appeal to these voters.
ENERGIZED ARMY OF SUPPORTERS
Obama is not going to be defeated by a slick DC Beltway campaign alone. It is going to take a nationwide passionate, energized army of supporters. Ron Paul has clearly demonstrated that he can energize his base of supporters like no other candidate can. We all know that if Ron Paul isn't the nominee, this army of energy disappears. But with Paul as the nominee, this army will mushroom.
Ron Paul's message isn't engineered to win a GOP beauty contest - it's engineered to beat Obama.
THE "PAUL or NOBODY" Problem
If Paul is not the nominee and just stays home, the Republicans lose a significant part of his supporters. He has a large "Paul or Nobody" base. If Paul grows weary of the Republican assaults and runs 3rd party, it is game over for them.
My advice to the Republicans - just do it.
Some of you may need to get more liquored up than others.