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OpEdNews Op Eds    H3'ed 10/27/20

Azerbaijan-Armenia War: A Strategic Blow to Stability (1)

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Message Muhammad Irfan

The war between Azerbaijan and Armenia broke out some 30 days ago in wake of the bleeding mistrust in the spectrum of the international security dilemma. Analysts have penned down much on this circumstance and profoundly assessed why the war took place. They have also accentuated the objectives of the two sides. A wide range of analysis has been made regarding the existential backdrop of the conflict. Therefore, it is very little needed to explore the afore-mentioned facts again. However, regarding the war and its likely ramifications vis-a-vis peace and stability in the future, it is necessary to make insights to abridge the enormous holes in the aspect of international order. In the first part, the war scenario would be analyzed concerning its latest developments. In the second part, the post-war scenarios deserve to be penetrated. Accordingly, this Azerbaijan and Armenia war is the first international conflict which has moved towards another shift in warfare for a variety of reasons: First, the tanks and APCs have become the relevance of the past centuries only. Second, the traditional fortifications alongside the borders have become more vulnerable than ever before due to the viable drone strikes. Third, this war has proven that men and drones are the future war instruments. Fourth, the deployments of remotely controlled devices such as combat unmanned Ariel vehicle (UCAV) have proven their operational dominance. Subsequently, the Armenian war machines badly failed in confrontation with the drones used by the Azeri Forces. The Russian military tanks, acquired by Armenia to bolster its defense bastion were destroyed in un-affordable numbers. Similarly, the other moving targets such as Armenian Armed Personal Carriers proved worthless against the strike drones. The same grave situation seemed to be self-evident regarding the Armenian deployment alongside the Azeri boundary. Interestingly, this war has accentuated the operational relevance of the men and drones when Azeri Forces effectively used Turkey made war drones on the battlefield. Therefore, it is a rationale to maintain that the usage of men and drones is the new destiny of warfare in the upcoming period. Similarly, the air defense regarding the striking UCAVs will attract parallelly the resources and skills in future anti-drone air defense and will increase the burden on the defense budgets of the adversaries. Therefore, the current war between Azerbaijan and Armenia has led to many strategic phenomenon on one hand and has unveiled the shallowness of the realistic international order on the other. This war has not only proven the death and destruction as the direct outcome of the realistic international order but also exposed it to be unfit for the human existence on the planet. To understand the bleeding aspect of the realistic international order against human peace and stability, the following prospects are of significant importance which can be taken into consideration as under: First, the regional and extra-regional powers seem to involve in the war and persist to share their due share of international order through this war. Second, the competition among the aforementioned powers has explicitly appeared. Moreover, the mistrust and mis-perception have proven the misconduct of the realistic international order. Simply, the decision-makers of these powers have made diatribe against one another over the afore-mentioned issue of Nagorno-Karabakh and have also asserted to influence other sides' involvement through threats. This scenario shows how a grave result the international system can beget.


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Muhammad Irfan has authored many books. He is an internationally recognized scholar. He has presented his papers in national and international conferences. He is also a freelance journalist and contributes to both national and international (more...)

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