- It would take six Earths to provide the resources required to support every person on earth today if they lived and consumed like the average US citizen.
- Today over 800 million people - one sixth of the developing world's population - suffers from hunger and the fear of starvation.
- Global warming will add at least another 250 million to that number, mostly in Africa.
- Rapid population growth not only pushes up demand for food but may also be starting to diminish supply as well. As people try to obtain higher yields from heavily used natural resources, soil loss worsens, fresh water becomes scarcer, and pollution increases. As a result the developing world's capacity to expand food production may well be shrinking, not expanding. (More)
- Climate change is set to do far worse damage to global food production than even the gloomiest of previous forecasts, according to studies presented at the Royal Society in London, UK, on Tuesday. "We need to seriously re-examine our predictions of future global food production," said Steve Long, a crop scientist at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, US. Output is "likely to be far lower than previously estimated". (More)
- For the first time, the grain harvest has fallen short of consumption four years in a row. In 2000, the shortfall was a modest 16 million tons; in 2001 it was 27 million tons; and in 2002 a record-smashing 96 million tons. In its September 11 crop report, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) reported that this year's shrunken harvest of only 1,818 million tons is falling short of estimated consumption of 1,911 million tons by a near-record 93 million tons. (More)
- The grain required to fill a 25-gallon SUV gas tank with ethanol, for instance, could feed one person for a year. If today's entire U.S. grain harvest were converted into fuel for cars, it would still satisfy less than one-sixth of U.S. demand. (More)
- The recent rise in corn prices--almost 70 percent in the past six months--caused by the increased demand for ethanol biofuel has come much sooner than many agriculture economists had expected. According to the United States Department of Agriculture, this year the country is going to use 18 to 20 percent of its total corn crop for the production of ethanol, and by next year that will jump to 25 percent. -- The situation will only get worse, says David Pimentel, a professor in the department of entomology at Cornell University. "We have over a hundred different ethanol plants under construction now, so the situation is going to get desperate," he says. Adding to the worries about corn-related food prices is President Bush's ambitious goal, announced in his last State of the Union address, that the United States will produce 35 billion gallons of ethanol by 2017. (More)
- Today over 800 million people - one sixth of the developing world's population - suffers from hunger and the fear of starvation.
- Global warming will add at least another 250 million to that number, mostly in Africa.
- Rapid population growth not only pushes up demand for food but may also be starting to diminish supply as well. As people try to obtain higher yields from heavily used natural resources, soil loss worsens, fresh water becomes scarcer, and pollution increases. As a result the developing world's capacity to expand food production may well be shrinking, not expanding. (More)
- For the first time, the grain harvest has fallen short of consumption four years in a row. In 2000, the shortfall was a modest 16 million tons; in 2001 it was 27 million tons; and in 2002 a record-smashing 96 million tons. In its September 11 crop report, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) reported that this year's shrunken harvest of only 1,818 million tons is falling short of estimated consumption of 1,911 million tons by a near-record 93 million tons. (More)
- The grain required to fill a 25-gallon SUV gas tank with ethanol, for instance, could feed one person for a year. If today's entire U.S. grain harvest were converted into fuel for cars, it would still satisfy less than one-sixth of U.S. demand. (More)
- The recent rise in corn prices--almost 70 percent in the past six months--caused by the increased demand for ethanol biofuel has come much sooner than many agriculture economists had expected. According to the United States Department of Agriculture, this year the country is going to use 18 to 20 percent of its total corn crop for the production of ethanol, and by next year that will jump to 25 percent. -- The situation will only get worse, says David Pimentel, a professor in the department of entomology at Cornell University. "We have over a hundred different ethanol plants under construction now, so the situation is going to get desperate," he says. Adding to the worries about corn-related food prices is President Bush's ambitious goal, announced in his last State of the Union address, that the United States will produce 35 billion gallons of ethanol by 2017. (More)
And for those who like their looming disasters displayed in pictures:
(See also maps showing the areas of the America that will be affected by rising sea levels)
Ugly pictures, huh? Nevertheless there are plenty of folk around more than willing to dismiss them as so much fear-mongering. Every time I write a piece like this my email box gets spammed by rightwing deadenders who, like holocaust deniers, tell me I'm full of it, that no such crisis' exist, and that I'm just another left-wing-one-world-government-pinko who -- of course -- "hates America."
They want to believe it just ain't so -- so that's what they believe.
It's all about the data. Listen to the damn data. When my two boys reached an age to be taught how to handle money I used to tell them this.
When buying, selling, investing or entrepreneur-ing - NEVER listen to your heart, because it will almost always tell you what you want to hear. And never trust your brain either, because it's no match for your hearts' desires.
Then I'd hand them a pocket calculator. "This is the only thing that won lie to you," I'd tell them. "It doesn't care what you want. It doesn't even care what you need. Sometimes it will tell you what you want to hear, and sometimes it won't. What it will never do is lie to you -- unless you lie to it first."
Then I'd hand them a pocket calculator. "This is the only thing that won lie to you," I'd tell them. "It doesn't care what you want. It doesn't even care what you need. Sometimes it will tell you what you want to hear, and sometimes it won't. What it will never do is lie to you -- unless you lie to it first."
That's why I tune out the political/social/business/religious chatter about all this and look only at the data. And the overwhelming weight of that data tells me I was right back in 1962 -- it can't last for ever. It never could. And now we're face to face with that moment of truth.
I would wager that, if you waterboarded them, even the most cockeyed, biblically lobotomized, American Enterprise Institute, US Chamber of Commerce types would admit that there's no way on earth -- literally -- that the world's remaining resouces could feed, cloth and energize 9 billion humans, without turning the Earth into a smoking cinder. And that was before adding in the affects global warming will have on our ability to produce and transport food and energy around the globe. It just ain't gonna happen.
Meanwhile the bus we're all traveling on is heading full tilt towards that sold wall of mathmatical reality: Too many people, consuming finite resources at an excellerating rate while also producing toxic wastes faster than nature can neutralize them -- at least not in ways that aren't equally toxic to human existence.
(Note: You can view every article as one long page if you sign up as an Advocate Member, or higher).
