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Possible Scenarios for the GOP Convention in Cleveland in July

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Andrew Schmookler
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But assuming a rule change opens things up, who else could win the nomination?

Kasich apparently would be the strongest GOP contender for the general election, but he is hardly in sync with the Trump and Cruz people who have responded favorably to what Kasich has just called "the path of darkness."

Paul Ryan seems to have firmly removed himself from consideration. Which appears wise: Ryan would like someday to be president, is young enough to be patient, and would injure those prospects if -- as part of the "Establishment" -- he incurred the wrath of all those in the base who have supported the anti-establishment candidates, Trump and Cruz.

Nor would it seem to bode well for the Party to go with Romney again.

Resurrecting some of the establishment candidates who dropped out -- like Rubio and Jeb -- would not seem a way to strengthen the GOP ticket, or to protect party unity against the rage of the base whose choices would have been disregarded.

Various possible paths -- none of them clear, and all of them fraught with major dangers to the Party.


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Andy Schmookler, an award-winning author, political commentator, radio talk-show host, and teacher, was the Democratic nominee for Congress from Virginia's 6th District. His new book -- written to have an impact on the central political battle of our time -- is (more...)
 
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