A Deflategate Slapdown of NFL and MSM

Goodell's arbitration finding that rejected Brady's appeal even cited interference from the NFL's Management Council, consisting of team owners whose clubs would benefit from Brady's suspension. They weighed in on assessing evidence. It seemed there were no limits to the NFL's biased behavior.

In retrospect, what appears to have happened in Deflategate was that the Indianapolis Colts didn't understand why one of the Patriots footballs intercepted before the half showed an air pressure below the legal minimum of 12.5 pounds per square inch. They assumed that it must have been intentionally deflated, not realizing that a loss of air pressure is natural when a ball is taken from the warm, dry environment of the locker room and put in play on a cold, rainy night.

Apparently, the NFL officials involved in a chaotic effort to test the 11 other Patriot footballs during halftime didn't understand the physics either. So, like some wannabe Sherlock Holmes, they jumped to the conclusion that they had uncovered wrongdoing. It turned out that the Colts' footballs that were measured by the more accurate of the two gauges revealed them also to be under 12.5 psi.

After the game, which the Colts lost 45-7, the NFL opened an investigation by sending a letter to the Patriots that exaggerated how much the Patriots' footballs were underinflated and falsely stated that none of the Colts' balls had been found to be underinflated. Those two "facts" were then leaked to the press, creating a media frenzy and convincing many football fans that Brady and the Patriots had cheated.

Even after the NFL detected the errors, the league did nothing publicly to correct the letter, instead keeping quiet during what turned out to be a several-months-long investigation by attorney Wells. The false impressions congealed into conventional wisdom.

It now appears that the reason for the delay in the Wells report was that the case was recognized internally to be very weak and thus was rewritten to make some irrelevant points seem more consequential, such as playing gotcha with McNally's recollection that he used a "urinal" in the bathroom on the way to the field when Wells noted there was only a regular "toilet" in the room.

Through such cheap tricks, the NFL believed it pushed the case over the relatively low threshold of "more probable than not" or a 51 percent chance that McNally had used his one-minute-40-seconds in the bathroom deflating footballs, not relieving himself before heading out to the field. The NFL then applied another 51 percent standard to conclude that if the footballs had been deflated that it was "more probable than not" that Brady was "generally aware" of the wrongdoing.

Another Media Failure

Beyond the prejudice displayed by the NFL, there also was the shoddy behavior of the mainstream news media, from the esteemed New York Times to the all-sports ESPN. Almost no one looked into the many holes that were obvious in the report. The NFL's case was treated as gospel and many ESPN commentators opined about Brady's guilt, mocking his claims of innocence.

ESPN added to the confusion by creating a boilerplate summary of the case that falsely claimed that text messages between McNally and Jastremski were about deflating the balls for the AFC Championship game when they actually were about Brady's complaint that the NFL referees had illegally overinflated footballs used in an earlier game in October 2014. The upper limit is 13.5 psi.

Also, despite all the attention given to this story, no one in the mainstream press noted how the Jastremski-McNally text messages suggested that there was no scheme for deflating footballs. In those October text messages, Jastremski was, in effect, reprimanding McNally for not doing his job -- which was to make sure the referees deflated the balls to Brady's preferred legal level of 12.5 psi. Instead, Jastremski tested the balls after the game and found one at nearly 16 psi.

If there were a surreptitious scheme to deflate the balls after the referees finished with them, you would have expected McNally to explain why he had not done so. Perhaps something like, "the refs were keeping a close eye on me" or some other excuse. But there is nothing like that in McNally's response, which mostly criticized Brady for being a complainer who might find the balls even more over-inflated in the next game.

Yet, instead of testing the NFL's claims or interviewing scientists who found the NFL's halftime measurements unreliable, the mainstream media just piled on Brady, serving as the enforcement mechanism for the conventional wisdom. There was not even criticism of the NFL when it filed the federal case first, hand-picking a New York federal court considered extremely pro-management and almost certain to uphold Goodell's ruling.

However, in this rare case -- at least rare in my recent experience -- Judge Berman looked at the NFL's accusations and evidence with an objective eye -- and sided with an individual against an arrogant and powerful institution. It almost had the feel of a Hollywood ending.

[For our previous stories on Deflategate, see "Rushing to Judge the NFL Patriots Guilty"; "Holes in NFL's Deflategate Report"; "Why Write about NFL's Deflategate"; "Tom Brady and Theoretical Crime"; "NFL's Deflategate Findings 'Unreliable'"; "The Tom Brady Railroad"; and "The 'Two-Minutes Hate' of Tom Brady."]