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General News    H3'ed 3/12/20

The U.S. Isn't Ready for What's About to Happen; By Juliette Kayyem in The Atlantic

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If Americans conclude that life will continue mostly as normal, they may be wrong. The U.S. is far less prepared than other democratic nations experiencing outbreaks of the novel coronavirus. Low case counts so far may reflect not an absence of the pathogen but a woeful lack of testing. Last week, the World Health Organization assessed the fatality rate at a shocking 3.4 percent, much higher than previously believed. Even with a robust government response to the novel coronavirus, many people will be in peril. Disruptions are almost certain to multiply in the weeks to come.  Trump’s initial impulse to downplay the risk, at least until the stock market took note, wasn’t just fanciful; it was dangerous.'

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I began teaching in 1963,; Ba and BS in Education -Brooklyn College. I have the equivalent of 2 additional Master's, mainly in Literacy Studies and Graphic Design. I was the only seventh grade teacher of English from 1990 -1999 at East Side (more...)

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Susan Lee Schwartz

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12 Steps to Tackle the Coronavirus:President Trump and other health officials need to act immediately, while there is time.

Nothing will change the fact of the GEOMETRIC PROGRESSION of this virus. Also it will take over a year to develop and test a vaccine. By then, according to reliable sources, between 70 million and 150 million will have contracted the disease.

The prediction of the outbreak progression is based on a very simple assumption that the counts will at first follow an exponential curve, at least at the beginning of the outbreak. Over time, instead, the s-curve shape will become dominant. Time from exposure to developing symptoms (incubation) of the virus is 2 - 10 days. The time-series graph in this link tracks 201920 Wuhan coronavirus COVID19 outbreak originating in Wuhan, Hubei province, China.

This is a real crisis, and decisions based on lies and disinformation lead to disaster. Amidst online misinformation being spread about the novel coronavirus outbreak (which the World Health Organization (WHO) has now declared a global pandemic), a few authentic and attention-worthy missives have emerged. This is not a 'bad flu!'

Submitted on Thursday, Mar 12, 2020 at 2:53:34 PM

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