Comparing death rates from COVID in the 42 states that locked down with 8 states that did not lock down, this article finds that the death rates in locked down states was 4 times higher.
Of course, you should correct for urban vs rural & for demographic differences, but it's hard to imagine that this is going to reverse the overwhelming conclusion that not locking down produced better health outcomes.
The author concludes, 'With the evidence coming in that the lockdowns were neither economically nor medically effective, it is going to be increasingly difficult for lockdown partisans to marshal the evidence to convince the public that isolating people, destroying businesses, and destroying social institutions was worth it.'
But I wouldn't be so confident. This show has been more about PR and less about epidemiological science from the very beginning.