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January 12, 2008 at 09:12:10

Extinction. Are we next?

by MoreRon     Page 1 of 1 page(s)

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According to a study published in the Proceedings of the Royal Society B, a British scientific journal, there have been five major extinctions during the last 520 million years. Four of them have been linked to warmer tropical seas. I for one have read enough articles and connected enough dots to know that we are seeing the beginnings of such an event right now. Not some time in the future but right now as I write this article. Don't be fooled by scientists that say these events take hundreds or even thousands of years. They happen fast, usually within a few decades. Fast enough to effect you, me and especially our children.

During the last great warming, 11,500 years ago, the earth warmed 9-18 degrees F in less than a decade. If humans change the composition of the atmosphere significantly enough, the possibility exists that an abrupt climate shift with substantial social and ecological consequences could occur. - Alley & deMenocal, 1998

Last month a U.N. network of scientists reported that 30 percent of the Earth's species could disappear if temperatures rise 4.5 degrees Fahrenheit and up to 70 percent if they rise 6.3 degrees Fahrenheit. Compare that to the predictions by the Woods Hole Research Center that say...

"Surface temperature increases are projected to increase 1.8-6.3 °F in the next century, with scientists' best guess being about 3.5 °F. Scientific modeling suggests that the surface temperature will continue to increase beyond the year 2100 even if concentrations of greenhouse gases are stabilized by that time. However, if carbon dioxide emissions continue to increase at present rates, a quadrupling of pre-industrial CO2 concentration will occur not long after the year 2100. Projected temperature increases for such an atmospheric concentration are 15-20 °F above the present day mean annual global surface temperature."

and you may realize that we have a serious problem, not in 100 years but RIGHT NOW.

I read an article yesterday that stated "Butterflies now extinct in Alps", last week I read one that stated 40 to 60% of the bees in North America had vanished/died due to a mysterious disease called Colony Collapse Disorder. One third of the world's food crops depend on pollinators. Without pollinators to produce the fruits, nuts, and vegetables that fill your refrigerator, we will be hard pressed to feed the billions of people that populate our planet.

Add the fact that dwindling oil supplies will make mass farming, i.e. food production and transportation more expensive in the future and you have a recipe for disaster. Food prices are going to rise dramatically over the next few years. Of course this will, as usual, hit the poor the hardest but even the rich will feel the effect. Think about it... If your neighbor has nothing to eat and you do, he will expect you to share willingly or he will use force to take his share from you to feed his family.

I'm talking War.

Sure, the Bush regime has already started what future generations will call the "Energy Wars" but trust me when I say that Iraq is just the beginning. It's over oil which provides lots of conveniences and many things we have come to depend on as necessities. The "Resource Wars" will be much bigger. Deserts are expanding and sea levels are rising. Just wait until the resources at stake are land, water and food.

To sum up this article, the answer to my opening question "Extinction. Are we next?" is no.

Man will not become extinct any time soon. We are extremely adaptable and technology will help us survive even the toughest conditions. We will find ways to pollinate our crops, we will flee the rising seas by moving to higher ground, we will use technology to fight the ever increasing wildfires and disease caused by higher temperatures and many of us will even survive the fight for our remaining resources. After all that, only a fraction of the current population will be left.

Maybe the suffering to come will teach those that survive a lesson they will heed...

Don't pee in the pond you live in!

Ron
http://moreron.wordpress.com

 

I am fed up with our government, with our tax system and the way we treat our home, the earth. I'm a liberal but by no means bleeding heart. I'm environmentally aware but not a tree-hugger. I am upset and quite frankly I don't know what to do except to vent my frustration in blogs and hope that talking about things will lead to awareness, answers and action.

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Semi-retired Psychotherapist,
Former Navy Combat Pilot & Vietnam Vet,
Co-founder of Bay Area Veterans For Peace, 1970;
Proud Husband, Father, & Grandfather

ManSemi-retired Psychotherapist,
Former Navy Combat Pilot & Vietnam Vet,
Co-founder of Bay Area Veterans For Peace, 1970;
Proud Husband, Father, & Grandfather

We might have only 4 more years.

This article http://www.oilempire.us/climate-time.html suggests that our window of opportunity to avert disaster was during the 1990s.  And if the melting of the polar ice caps that scientists now estimate may be only 4 years away actually happens, that may release the methane hydrates in the sub-polar tundra and lead to the kind of mass extinctions a similar event did during "The Great Dying" 251 million years ago.  Will humankind survive such an event?  Perhaps some remnant, greatly changed.  It reportedly took sea coral, a relatively simple life form, 10s of millions of years to recover from that event.  How long might it take humankind?

Or, maybe we could decide we really don't need mass global air and sea transportation, mass carbon consuming national surface and air transportation and private automobiles, 3000-8000 square feet per family private homes, food and clothing and gadgets imported globally at high costs in CO2 pollution and reserve our aircraft, ships, trucks, and cars for transporting only police, firemen, ambulances and emergency supplies of food, water, clothing, and communications equipment?  Maybe we could give up our domination and consumption lifestyles and find new purpose and fulfillment in nurturing the earth, our families, our communities, and ourselves?  We could heavily tax all forms of pollution and waste and use that money to innovate.  Maybe we could replace transporting our bodies locally, regionally, nationally, and internationally with projecting our voices and images via the internet to our family, friends, and associates.  Clean the rust off our bicycles and limit our local travel to an area we're willing to pedal to and from?  Shrink our communities down to that size?

Global warming, peak oil, global-oil-based-agriculture collapse, and global financial disruption may soon force us to consider making this transition from consuming to nurturing - and the wealthiest 1% could be asked to finance the transition with the trillions of dollars they have accumulated in the last 30 years of unprecedented productivity growth that has not yet been broadly shared.  Money is really just a concrete form of shared credit or trust that generosity will be reciprocated.  Everyone would be expected to contribute whatever energy and skills they have toward maintenance of the community with the assurance they would share equitibly in the community's shelter, food, water, clothing, equipment, etc.  Status and self-esteem could come from being able to nurture self, family, community, and earth rather than from being able to dominate and exploit.  The first 2 million years that we lived in wandering tribes required us to be much more cooperative, generous, and humble - and those impulses are more deeply buried in our minds, hearts, and souls than the competitiveness, greed, and arrogance that have developed in the last 50,000 years.  Our true human nature is founded in nurturance, generosity, family, and community.  Competitive exploitation is a relatively recent corruption that will need to be unlearned.  Those energies can be channeled into local participatory sports and our children encouraged to believe in their relative equality of potential.

Survival will be challenging.  It need not be war.  We are capable of caring and sharing.

by Man (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 7 comments) on Sunday, January 13, 2008 at 2:44:56 AM
 


Midwesterner, veteran of VietNam era naval service, I still feel an obligation to defend the Constitution against "all enemies, foreign and domestic."
John Sanchez Jr.Midwesterner, veteran of VietNam era naval service, I still feel an obligation to defend the Constitution against "all enemies, foreign and domestic."

Just remember...

We can't engineer the end of the world. We can only end us. The world and life itself might do better after they shrug the crazy bugs off, or maybe, just maybe, we'll get sensible in time.

by John Sanchez Jr. (5 articles, 0 quicklinks, 12 diaries, 1172 comments) on Sunday, January 13, 2008 at 2:44:28 PM
 

 

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