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Housing Crash; An Accident? Hardly:

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Good Morning America. Welcome to your King of Simple News Network. Real News from real people with real jobs.

The post is a little long today, but I think you will agree, it's worth the read. After all, if affects you.

U.S. News ─ Housing continues to take a pounding and economists continue to find work making up new reasons why. However, having predicted the downfall of housing and reporting the reasons for the sudden drop some two years before the present economists became interested, we need to move on to the next phase of the great charade.

A short re-cap may be in line for some of my new readers. In summer of 2003, the coroner was summoned to check the pulse of the U.S. economy, which was highly suspected of being dead. The alert coroner detected a faint pulse and immediately sent for the good Dr. Greenspan, who prescribed lowering the dose of interest rates to 1% and starting a continual I.V. of American Greenbacks until such time the patient arose from the grave.

Responding to such treatment America stumbled back on to its feet and borrowed money with the fervor of a day after Thanksgiving clearance sale. After all, interest rates that low had not been seen since 1958. This is often referred to as the "time warp" or "any port in a storm" approach to economic revival. It is also termed the "unsustainable" or "life support" method. The patient is going to die, just not as soon.

Housing caught fire and home construction grew on the bodacious profits of home construction for as long as home construction was profitable, which wasn't long. Thus, the moniker "unsustainable," a term banned from FED meetings.

The new scam...er, direction, did work long enough for Washington to report a complete economic recovery bolstered by timely and responsible FED actions that had successfully mired Middle America hopelessly in debt. Together with the brisk war economy, things were definitely looking up for Americas' most wanted...I meant to say, most wealthy.

Any economist worth their salt could see the wreck coming, and boy it was a doozy. The insurance carrier for this contrived carnage was, who else, America's Middle Class.

Alan "Cash" Greenspan and "Bronco Ben" Bernanke predicted a soft landing for housing. They also assured us that the housing sector was not large enough to bring down the economy. So much for requiring our FED Chief to have a handle on economics 101. But, the massive housing failure wasn't their fault, the banks "done it,"

Yes folks, those same people who protect us from terrorists, who had no idea that there were 12 Million illegals living in the U.S., who were certain of weapons of mass destruction, and who had little knowledge that Social Security was in trouble prior to the 2008 election campaign; also had no knowledge of the housing scam that was artificially propping up all of America. This is good time to add that I have a lovely beach front condo for sale in Indiana. (And you want to re-elect these people)?

First the dot-com scam, and now a residential housing revival; even the quality of the swindle is going downhill. Geez!

Is the housing collapse and credit crunch over? I wish it were; Americans are broke. We live eat and breathe credit. The U.S. is the largest debtor nation on earth, yet just 27 years ago, we were the largest creditor nation on earth. That's the good news.

The bad news is that the real estate crash is just getting warmed up. All you have seen on the big screen so far are the "Previews of Coming Attractions."

These same economists and the FED who promised a soft landing, are just now figuring out that there is a connection between housing starts, employment, and business at Lowe's and Home Depot. Housing will continue to crater and commercial real estate is right behind the next domino to tumble.

This house of cards that we live in was artificially revived by real estate, primarily residential real estate, which after completion becomes a negative factor to a sustainable economic basis. Its shelter guys, expensive residential shelter that robs the owner and the remainder of the economy by reducing previously held savings and wiping out discretionary income; for thirty long years of payments!

Unless what? Unless inflation comes to the rescue; right? It won't happen this time. If you think the possibility exists, take a look at the value of our existing currency.

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www.kingofsimple.com

Mike Folkerth is the author of "The Biggest Lie Ever Believed" and is not your run-of-the-mill author of finance and economics. The former real estate broker, developer, private real estate fund manager, auctioneer, Alaskan bush pilot, (more...)
 

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The Coming Stagflation by Harvey Shepherd on Monday, Nov 19, 2007 at 7:45:18 PM
Stagflation by Mike Folkerth on Monday, Nov 19, 2007 at 8:49:10 PM
Short Trip by cluelessfl on Monday, Nov 19, 2007 at 11:04:57 PM
Sorry - by Geraldo on Tuesday, Nov 20, 2007 at 5:19:59 AM
VOTE, Please by Mike Folkerth on Tuesday, Nov 20, 2007 at 7:05:37 AM