Warnings by examiner.com
By his expansion of the Afghan War into the sovereign nation of Pakistan, President Obama and his military advisers have made a grievous mistake that could lead America to the brink of a massive Central Asian war. Pakistan, a nuclear power, is in a state of turmoil as its government and its people react with rage over the continued U.S. encroachment into their nation and the relentless attacks by deadly U.S. drones in civilian populated areas.
What makes this situation even more volatile is the fact that, because of this increased U.S. military action, China has just recently issued a strong warning to the U.S. that an attack (meaning an attack using massive force) would be construed as an attack on China. China, which has very important interests and investments in Pakistan, will not allow them to be jeopardized by the increasing U.S. military actions in that nation. China, which has not been known to issue frivolous warnings, is giving the U.S. a strong, clear message in the form of an ultimatum.
China 's interests and involvement in Pakistan have been rapidly increasing in recent years. For example, China largely financed, developed and constructed a seaport at Gwadar, located in the Baluchistan Province. This port will provide a strategic advantage to both Pakistan and China as it will give them access to shipping lanes that transport the majority of petroleum from the Middle East, through the Strait of Hormuz.
Just recently Pakistan has asked China to not only be responsible for operating the Gwadar seaport but, also, to build a naval base in that same area. China, for reasons not divulged, has indicated that it does not wish to do so -- at least not yet. But just think of the strategic importance that the seaport and the naval base would have in that region; that's something the U.S. does not want to happen and one of the reasons for its increasing presence in that nation.
In another rather ominous move, China is providing 50 JF-17 fighter jets to Pakistan following a recent visit to Beijing by the Prime Minister of Pakistan, Yousaf Raza Gilani. China is sending these fighters to Pakistan as a part of its strategy to convince Pakistan to diminish its relationship with the U.S. - and it appears to be working. Incidentally, China continues to be Pakistan's primary provider of weapons systems.
This growing relationship between Pakistan and China is not without good reason. While Pakistan and China have been allies and developing a relationship for years, both are very troubled by the U.S. military expanding its Afghan War into the Northwest regions of Pakistan. The Pakistani government is vehemently denouncing these continuing drone attacks against suspected insurgents that have caused the deaths of hundreds of innocent civilians.
Pakistan will soon have to make a decision; will it continue to remain subservient to the U.S. and face more attacks within its borders, or will it side with China which poses no dangers and has plans to make even greater investments in Pakistan? Suppose the U.S. ends its reported $3 billion annual aid to Pakistan? Not to worry, for China that's a mere pittance in order to maintain close relations. So, the arrow of opportunity seems to be pointing directly toward China.
First it was the invasion of Afghanistan, now its encroachment into Pakistan. Anyone who still thinks that America's presence in that region of the world is to go after and eliminate Al-Qaeda and its associated terrorists, should think again. The massive force comprised of U.S. and NATO troops is there for one reason: it is to establish control over the vast resources of Central Asia and to prevent China, Russia and other nations from controlling that region. It may have been referred to as the War on Terror but, in reality, it is a war for critical resources.
Mr. Obama, this is not the time for any kind of massive confrontation and potential Central Asian firestorm, especially since that region is home to three nuclear powers; Pakistan, China and India plus the continued presence of the U.S. And, not so far away is the nuclear power called Russia, At this point, the U.S. should wisely end military operations in Pakistan, stop the drone attacks and use the resources of the U.S. military to begin the process of withdrawal from Afghanistan. It's time to get out of Afghanistan, that "graveyard of empires" before it swallows up yet one more empire - ours.
So, China gave the U.S. a strong warning; should our government take that seriously? What can China do if the U.S. decides to attack Pakistan with force? Well, let's remember that China is the world's most populous nation; it has the world's largest standing army, and it has a navy and an air force. Oh yes, lest I forget, China has a nuclear arsenal. And, most important of all, China who holds a massive amount of U.S. debt has the power to literally bring down America's financial foundations almost any time it wishes.
This situation in Pakistan is going to come to a head in the not too distant future. The Pakistani government which has been very subservient to America's demands may well decide that it can no longer tolerate further attacks on its soil by the U.S. If that's the case, it would seem to have two options at its disposal; first, it can retaliate by seriously impeding America's ability to transport essential military supplies from the port of Karachi across Pakistan, using two separate, lengthy routes into Afghanistan. It can do this in two ways: either by using its own military to stop convoys coming through the checkpoints or by allowing insurgents in the area to attack the convoys at key points.
The other option that Pakistan might take is to shift its total allegiance to China and allow China to operate much more freely in their nation. To have the presence of two very powerful nations in Pakistan would present a most dangerous, inflammable situation that could lead to a regional war of immense proportions. This is the scenario that President Obama must avoid at all costs; the risk is too great.
And now to the ultimatum by the American people. Numerous polls have consistently indicated that more than 2/3 of Americans reject these wars; they want them ended. Therefore he has been given a choice. He can respond to their demands by laying out a positive schedule for exiting Pakistan and withdrawing our troops from Iraq and Afghanistan or he can take his chances and risk losing much of their votes in 2012.
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