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PAULSON & FED WON'T STEM TIDE / MORE LENDERS WILL BITE THE BULLET

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The dike of funny market credit and overzealous greed has burst open and nothing can stem the tide as more lenders bite the bullet ~ even the heavy handed manipulations of Treasury Secretary Paulson and an increasingly concerned Fed cannot stop the emotional psychology of a runaway bear market which abhors uncertainty.
Markets are stabilized by confidence and very few on Wall Street have confidence in the Cheney/Bush administration to take the necessary steps to right its badly listing economic ship of state ~ particularly since the problems extend well beyond the sub-prime market.
The first step is dealing with reality ~ which the Administration and major media still avoid but, fortunately, the foreign press is up to the task for this melt down is truly global in scope.
BBC reports yesterday that it's like a shipwreck at sea ~ we have to wait and see how many bodies wash up on the shore . 
Some note the irony of the Fed having to open its pockets to help out banks that lent too freely and too much in the easy-credit boom that abruptly ended this summer.

"Any parent, whose 21-year old child has left them with the fallout of a hefty insurance bill having wrecked daddy's BMW, will have every sympathy with the Fed today," says Andrew Wilkinson, senior market analyst at Interactive Brokers in Greenwich, Conn. "The rampant mortgage market over the last several years was only partly caused by the Fed's ultra-easy monetary policy. It didn't advocate strong-arm loan tactics in a raging bull market. But here we are facing a crescendo as those same loan originators ask for easy money in order to stay in business."

Allen L Roland
http://blogs.salon.com/0002255/2007/08/17.html
Liquidity woes hit more lenders
BBC News

Several mortgage lenders have seen their shares slump amid fresh concerns over the impact of global credit market turmoil on liquidity.

Firms have seen the credit squeeze - prompted by woes in the US sub-prime mortgage market - hit their ability to refinance debt.

Australian lender RAMS closed down 37%, while US firm Countrywide has dropped 16%, warning it may face bankruptcy.

Northern Rock was among the UK losers, falling 3.6% by afternoon trade.

Emergency credit move

Countrywide gave a fresh warning of the state of its situation on Thursday, saying it was drawing down an entire $11.5bn (£5.8bn) credit facility to help bolster its liquidity.

The announcement came a day after brokerage Merrill Lynch advised its clients to sell shares in Countrywide.

Countrywide said on Monday that foreclosures and mortgage delinquencies had risen in July to their highest levels since early 2002.

Banks and investment funds have also been hit, as investors watch and wait to see who will be next to reveal their exposure to the US sub-prime or high-risk home loan sector.

"Given how tense the market is, anyone even remotely suffering from problems relating to credit or widening spreads is getting absolutely hammered in the market place," said Zurich Financial Services fund manager James Holt.

"It is like a shipwreck at sea and we have got to wait and see how many bodies wash up on the shore."

'Volatility to continue'

The US sub-prime mortgage sector offers higher-risk loans to people with a poor credit history.

As US interest rates have risen and the housing bubble has burst, a growing number of sub-prime borrowers have defaulted on their loans.

Because the lenders have often sold on the debt, this has led to extensive financial difficulties for a number of investment funds with heavy exposure to the sector - prompting fears of a wider financial crisis.

Analysts say that the biggest worries for investors is not knowing the eventual scale of the problem.

"Market volatility is going to continue until the extent of the problem is properly known," said Richard Hunter, equities analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

"It may take a few weeks for positions to unwind and for banks to hold their hands up and reveal how much they are exposed to."

RAMS' share fall came after it said it had failed to refinance 6.17bn Australian dollars ($5bn; $2.5bn) of debt - meaning it will have to pay more to borrow funds that it uses to offer mortgages, hitting its earnings.

Allen L Roland http://blogs.salon.com/0002255/2007/08/17.html

Freelance columnist Allen L  Roland is available for comments , interviews  and speaking engagements  ( allen@allenroland.com

 

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http://www.allenroland.com

Allen L Roland is a practicing psychotherapist, author and lecturer who also shares a daily political and social commentary on his weblog and website more...)
 

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