A science genius deserves better by celebratingsagan.com
Stay "til the end -- and a rich payoff of Carl Sagan's gemlike
insights. A little clean-up work
first, to clear the palate.
I don't regularly read Wash. Post's Charles Krauthammer (CK, as in crank), often regret when I do, ending with gnashing teeth. From time to time, perplexity or hilarity moves me to the dark side, hunting out the loopy logic behind he latest fringe skullduggery. I used to read that wily conservative wordsmith, Peggy Noonan -- a far better stylist -- until I gagged at her unctuous Vatican sycophancy.
So, I brightened suspiciously at Krauthammer's seemingly apolitical title, "Are we alone in the universe?" Ah-ah, I guessed, are greedy oligarchs, having written off the Middle East quagmire, reigniting manifest destiny into space? Doesn't commerce that follows expansion, like Columbus or our interminable invasions, pay back venture capital that ventures far and wide? Imagine the military cash blast from space voyaging, as in W.'s fantasy pitch for actual Mars landings. What overstretched empire desperate for a larger purpose wouldn't drool to conquer the moon, awarding itself an armed catbird seat to spot evildoers "from above," like gods?
CK opens with confusion, puzzled why we haven't yet found intelligent life elsewhere despite the huge sample pool -- billions of stars, an infinity of solar systems. I was itching to hear him pontificate about not finding intelligent life scattered across his own party's goofy field of candidates. But no, instead the Crank posited that advanced civilizations are rare because they self-destruct, ironically killed off by their own "intelligence." And then the shocker: he cited the hallowed authority of Carl Sagan. Sans any proof or citation. Right, sounds just like the scientist Sagan I recall, the indefatigable founder of the whole SETI program -- the Search for Extraterrestrial Life. Why would this incredible space enthusiast waste decades and large budgets if he believed there was nothing to find? The world's most famous scientist of his generation wrote a book called "Intelligent Life in the Universe."
Finally, out of this Krauthammer morass emerges this leap of logic, a defense of rational, life-affirming politics:
if we don't get politics right, everything else risks extinction . . . in all its grubby, grasping, corrupt, contemptible manifestations --[politics] is sovereign in human affairs. Everything ultimately rests upon it. Fairly or not, politics is the driver of history. It will determine whether we will live long enough to be heard one day. Out there. By them, the few -- the only -- who got it right.
Is this it, a covert campaign pitch, implying redemption, indeed survival, depends wholly on smarter politicians? How can he blithely ignore a contradiction the size of Jupiter? How can politics be "sovereign" when CK's own frantic fringe, the creeps who defy compromise on national debt or paying our bills, torpedo the process. Where's the illusory sovereignty of politics when the right holds only contempt for unhinged, lying liberals? How can CK evoke politics when his demented fellows play demotion derby, denigrating huge threats like global warming or worldwide pollution plus any sort of political solutions? Right, the sovereignty of politics drowned in a bathtub.
That dead end aside, there's more nonsense afoot, like Krauthammer's claim any search for space life "betrays a profound melancholy, a lonely species in a merciless universe [that] anxiously awaits an answering voice amid utter silence"? Utter silence, like the key "background noise" that revealed the Big Bang? CK whines this void of contact is "maddening" because "it makes no sense." Wait a minute. Doesn't scientific curiosity, not melancholy, drive our space investigations, as Sagan's illustrious career proved? Since when is science about self-pity, not wonder or desire for knowledge? Testing, testing, earth to CK.
Second, considering the brevity of the SETI hunt (a few decades), the vast distances, and the rarity of the life-sustaining Goldilocks habitats, jumping to any big conclusions is absurd. Results: not maddening, nor surprising, certainly not unexpected. Further, our "lonely species" is maddeningly overpopulating our shrinking planet, thus dying from disease, malnutrition, and poverty. The poorest among us aren't melancholy or anxious because no wizard found any chatty playmates lights years away, but because desperate earthlings are bereft of resources. This supposedly "smart rightwinger" obviously skipped way too many science classes.
Then, from bad logic he shifts to chicanery, as my research failed to establish where "Carl Sagan (among others) thought that the answer is to be found, tragically, in the final variable: the high probability that advanced civilizations destroy themselves." Would Sagan the evidence-driven scientist make such specific predictions about absent civilizations about which no one knows anything? True, Sagan the strong critic of nuclear arms -- and the Vietnam War, plus damage to the earth -- imagined dire results for this very planet. But he had evidence galore, even before 1996 when he died. Readers, any help here?
CK's distortion reflects his hijacking lines from Sagan's novel, Contact , pgs. 358-360, especially fanciful dialogue between Ellie (human scientist) and the Alien, to whom she asks how his imaginary "advanced civilization" might respond to cosmic threats.
[Ellie] "If the Nazis had taken over the world, our world, and then developed interstellar spaceflight, wouldn't you have stepped in?"
[Alien] "You'd be surprised how rarely something like that happens. In the long run, the aggressive civilizations destroy themselves, almost always."