"When asked, Paul stated that the 'acceptance of preemptive war' was the most pressing moral issue in the United States today, further stating that we 'can't change the world by force.' Paul also said that the nation's security is 'more threatened' by continued United States military activity in Iraq than it would be if the United States left Iraq today. -- He further said that our foreign policy was 'designed to protect oil interests' and that the United States is 'literally fighting wars over oil." C. M. Paulson, Associated Content, June 7, 2007
Commenting in the House of Representatives on the "war on terror," Paul said,
"It's deliberately vague and non definable to justify and permit perpetual war anywhere under any circumstances. Don't forget the Iraqis and Saddam Hussein had nothing to do with any attack against us, including that on 9/11.
"Americans no longer need be killed or maimed and Americans no longer need to kill Iraqi's. We've had enough of both." U.S. House of Representatives
Differences between the Paul movement and the current Republican Party are too profound to imagine any benefit to the Republicans from his supporters. McCain's staff may be worried about these energized Pauli's distracting from his ratification as the standard bearer for the policies of the imperial Republicans. Their focus will quickly turn to the states listed above where Paul made impressive showings among Republicans.
At the same time, Paul's domestic program seeks to sharply contain social welfare programs. This may make the candidacy of Democrat Barack Obama an unlikely port in the storm of U.S. politics.
The real impact on the 2008 presidential election is the threat to the Republican base. In 2000, the rural segment accounted for 23% of the total vote count. In 2004, that "red" segment dropped to 16%. Bush won there by a substantial percentage but his 2000 rural vote count was down by 2.4 million from 2004.
Now the McCain camp sees a highly energized, ideologically intense segment of the party holding a "counter convention" in the other "Twin City," Minneapolis. They must be wondering what happens if Paul's block goes elsewhere and those disaffected rural voters stay home again.
If Paul supporters stay home or coalesce around a third party candidate, it will have a substantial impact on McCain and his running mate. The expected bump in Alaska will hardly compensate.
Regardless of what happens, this movement shows strong signs of enduring over the long term.
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