This is an idiomatic exploration of the effects of a Trump victory, based on recent polling showing him leading by our top polls, as Clinton recoils. What would a Trump Presidency be like?

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They laughed when I wrote an article "Trump is winning."

I refuted that claim based on polls, with a warning: the polls might change.

They laughed when I said Johnson was going to help Clinton win.

I was wrong. When Johnson blew himself up with "What's a LEPO?" he lost half his support, mot of which went to Trump...in the new polls, Clinton is up in a 2 way but behind in a 4 way. Johnson has helped Trump by repelling half his support.

So:

Are you ready for President Trump?

Two of the most accurate (historically) polls show Trump winning, the IBD and the ABC polls. IBD was 99% accurate in 2012, and ABC is rated at 538 as A+. The LATimes also has trump ahead. The polls which have Clinton ahead have her up by 1 point, all but statistically tied. Rasmussen has a tie.

Now here is where I say: I told you so.

I said that Johnson helped Clinton and was a potential, if not likely spoiler, drawing off more votes from Trump than Clinton (libertarian historically support Republicans). The recent polls show that in a 2 way race, Clinton is slightly up, and in a 4 way (with johnson and Stein), Trump is up. I did not count on Johnson imploding, which eliminated the votes he had drawn from Trump: the deserted (half) have helped put Trump ahead in the historically most accurate polls.

Of course, Johnson and Stein are in the race, so the point of polling a 2 way is to determine the influence of the other candidates. Since Johnson dumbed out, his support has dropped from 8-12% to 4-5%. Millions of voters have deserted him, and I think most, based on history, would gravitate to Trump. Stein's effect is harder to gauge, but she has nearly as much support as Johnson, with about 4 times the support she had in 2012. 4% is 5 million voters, enough to swing the election, but there is no history to tell us where the new Stein voters are coming from. Is she taking votes from Clinton? Possible but unlikely. Is she taking votes from Trump? no way.

I have been calling the race done, Clinton winning, for weeks, based on the polls, but now I have to say that, due to the email episode, which was started by Trump ally Rupert Murdoch in the WSJ article which essentially compelled FBI director Comey to announce the FBI was looking to see if the emails on the Wiener computer had any relevance.

The media is either poo-poohing the new investigation to pretend it is not hurting Clinton. The Trump forces are claiming the FBI has stated the emails (which they have not yet discussed) are looking in to wrongdoing, but what Comey said is that they are looking to see IF there is any dirt there: is there any there there?

The mere presentation of the information that the FBI was looking into it to see if there was any there there has shifted a few million voters to Trump, which along with the Johnson gift, has him now, ahead in the two top-rated polls

Team Clinton is panicking and no doubt will have its own November surprise within days....tho it is unlikely to change anything since Trump's support has only grown after many revelations of his business failues, his use of slave labor, his attachment to Mein Kampf, his hiring of "illegal aliens," his deleting emails and records, his history of racism, and his unending lies and contradictions.......the irony of Trump, based on his totally fake image as an outsider, one of the ordinary people (when he was born into the establishment) is that the worse the case against him, the more support he has gathered. This is a result of his brilliant deflection in turning the media attacks on him into attacks on the media.

Trump, who is a failed businessman (6 bankruptcies) is also a crook who made money on all the failures. He is the King of Debt. He loves Debt. And that is why. He has mastered the art of making money through failure, which he calls the Art of the Deal. And the poorly educated to love him see his every scheme as proof of his negotiating genius. Forgotten are those who put up and the money and lost it all, as Trump made off like a bandit.

Trump is a billionaire who is running as Robin Hood. It's a contradiction with great appeal for people with strong emotions but no critical thinking skills.

So it now looks, barring some November surprise which unlike all the other attacks, succeeds, like Trump may well win.

In the spirit of accepting that which I cannot control (I voted for Stein), I am wondering what the upside is, and this very essay reveals it: Clinton is boring. No one likes to talk about her much, whereas Trump is, and I shudder to say it, very interesting, entertaining,and an endless subject of speculation. That is the persona he as fabricated.....the man of mystery (I will keep you in suspense; I will replace Obamacare with......something terrific."

In short, Trump, if he does not start dropping nukes on Syria because their sailors flipped off a US warship, will be fascinating. People either love him or love to hate him, and so he absorbs all the attention.

In terms of policy, he will likely be deadlocked and unable to do much (depending on make up of Congress, and if he wins, the Republicans win) but he will be interesting. Like many power-hungry psychopaths (From Alexander, one of the first mass murders to Hitler and Mussolini) there is a fascination as in watching a trainwreck. I would call it an "Oh MY God" moment, the horror we cannot stop watching.

The Chinese have a curse: "May you live in interesting times." As the media knows (and why it promotes war), there is nothing more fascinating or likely to get an audience than war and threats of war, disasters, and chaos.

The grotesque repels but also seduces us. Trump wins because he is not boring.

People love it.Trump has learned how to use this fascination for the outrageous and the catastrophic as a campaign strategy. The more he "breaks the rules"(whether criminal or traditional), the more supporters he has. Like a headline that frightens and startles, he cannot be ignored. I personally hate Trump,but, in all truth, part of me looks forward to NOT having to listen to Clinton's platitudes and her fake laugh and indulging my fascination with Trump, not out of admiration but with the same attention as any disaster.

The race right now is tied. The momentum however is with Trump. Clinton has been knocked over, and we don't know if she can get up or find, in the next day or two, some attack that will make any difference. I personally doubt it.

When I wrote Trump is Winning, I meant it as to end the denial, citing the top polls. ; but in a reversal of the Marxian insight that history first occurs as tragedy, the repeats as farce, I think that farce (Trump as President? Get real!) is now succeeded by tragedy, based on the prospects of Trump winning. Hope for farce (like war criminal Bush II, Trump is a natural clown) but prepare for disaster!

We love tragedy, for we can vicariously experience emotions that otherwise would require real suffering. Trump is the farce, if we are lucky, if he wins. If we are not, he will be a tragedy, a failed but interesting President.

If Clinton wins, I will yawn and take a nap. And she too will be unable to get anything done, which is dangerous since that leaves her only foreign affairs where she would be (this is frightening to say) Commander in Chief and hot to provoke a war with Russia, tho she gave them 20% of our uranium. Maybe it's all an act, a farce.

We can only hope it is not a tragedy, tho if it is, our disgust will be trumped by fascination in the case of Trump, or boredom with Clinton. Clinton, whose crimes are many, may be taken down by an illusion concocted by Murdoch and Trump, the master showman and the master propagandist. Rubert Murdoch may be Machiavelli to the Prince. There may no there there, but politics is ruled by perception, which is to say lies and distortions.

How ironic if Clinton, who has never been held accountable for the blood on her hands, should fall because of the mere suspicion of errant emails. How unexpected that a natural clown should be taken seriously enough to become President. How unreal that the election may well be decided not on the basis of real crimes on both sides, but suspicion. That is, to be sure, karma.

As Trump said in Iowa: how stupid are you people? They loved it!

"A popular government without popular information or the means of acquiring it, is but a prologue to a farce, or a tragedy, or perhaps both. James Madison

"History repeats itself, first as tragedy, then as farce."

Karl Marx

"There are times when one would like to hang the whole human race, and finish the farce." Mark Twain

Authors Bio:

retired, working radical egalitarian/libertarian socialist old school independent, vegan, survivor