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April 13, 2016

Peak Oil: Simplicity Isn't Always So Simple

By Richard Turcotte

While there's surely some benefit derived in keeping things simple for readers and followers, I'm still unclear as to what the long-term benefits are for them [and the rest of us] when the full range of facts and considerations about our future energy supply are kept off of the discussion table.

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Boston MA sunset
Boston MA sunset
(Image by Richard Turcotte)
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Few of us appreciate just how much we rely upon inexpensive, readily-available supplies of energy to live our lives. It's as easy to overlook as the air we breathe, and a change in its availability could impact us no less dramatically. Whether it does or not will be up to us.

[W]hat future awaits us if we cannot be courageous and honest enough to plan for that future with the full range and understanding of all the facts now at our disposal?

While there's surely some benefit derived in keeping things simple for readers and followers, I'm still unclear as to what the long-term benefits are for them [and the rest of us] when the full range of facts and considerations about our future energy supply are kept off of the discussion table.

It's a defining characteristic of the conservative personality that they tend to prefer closure quickly; and this is so for matters both simple and complex. Like any tactic, there are advantages and disadvantages in how they are used, and for what reasons.

Latching onto to one or two pieces of information or opinions in matters of greater complexity and accepting them as the final say can lead to bigger problems down the road when the majority of facts and considerations are ignored--or worse, not disclosed at all to those without the means to collect details on their own. The public understandably relies upon their preferred go-to media and political sources for information, and when their motivations and interests differ from those who rely upon them, the dissemination of full information tends to be an early casualty.

The issues surrounding the concept of peak oil are not a contest between progressive views and conservative ones. Peak Oil is about the facts on and in the ground. No one denies the great advantages and production increases for which tight oil production in the past few years is responsible. But that's just a factual statement. It's not the sum total of energy considerations and concerns today and/or tomorrow, despite the fact it tends to be couched that way by some.

Production facts past, present, and future affect all of us, even those media, industry, and political personalities from the right side of the divide who tend to work so hard [and, unfortunately, effectively] to cloud the truth. Peak Oil's impact will also just as surely and adversely affect ardent deniers when the consequences of declining oil production and a warming Earth begin to make their inevitable appearance. By then that realization will come too late to arrange for meaningful adaptations. Reality will still remain entirely unmoved by political ideologies.

Democracy holds out a promise that we will get to make choices about what we will do in our community. But each time we choose to ignore the factual truths staring right at us, we ensure that future generations will have fewer and fewer choices.


Offered in the context of climate change, that quote holds the same meaning and truth for peak oil and all other complex, challenging issues in our society for which universal agreement is lacking.

The challenges posed by peak oil [a depleting, finite resource whose substitutes carry a host of drawbacks: higher costs; greater production challenges; less efficient; environmental consequences, etc.] is all the greater--if that's possible--because from the perspective of those of us legitimately concerned about providing full disclosure, too many citizens without the means/opportunities to understand what's at stake rely on informed others making a deliberate decision to disclose either too few facts from which to make informed decisions, or carefully massaged facts with a self-serving purpose.

A steady diet of half-truths, misrepresentations, irrelevancies, distractions, abundance forever nonsense, and in some cases outright lies certainly suggests disagreement about energy supply issues for those who make no independent determinations on the matter. If you come to the table without understanding or even knowing the facts, you leave very quickly with a comforting if false belief that there are no issues worth considering. Furthermore, it's more difficult to contribute meaningful insight, or even just have a chance to voice concerns or ask questions if you've been told there's nothing to be concerned about.

Perhaps there's a good explanation for why making a critical, looming problem worse later on; for more people and industries affected by that problem; in more ways, and with costlier options at hand--not to mention fewer ones--is actually a wiser course of action than just telling the truth and offering up all of the facts.

So " what is it?

[http://peakoilmatters.com/2016/03/15/simplicity-has-disadvantages/]



Authors Website: http://richardturcotte.com/

Authors Bio:

Looking Left and Right: Inspiring Different Ideas, Envisioning Better Tomorrows

I remain a firm believer in late U.S. Senator Paul Wellstone's observation that "We all do better when we all do better." That objective might be worth pursuing more diligently."

If we don't look for ways to tamp down the vitriol and intense hatred which members of Left and Right teams freely direct at "the opposition," we will not only foreclose whatever options might still remain to find common ground that moves us all forward. Worse still, we will eliminate both the hopes for and attainment of a better and more peaceful future. We're too close to achieving that empty triumph as it is.

We might not want to acknowledge that we're all in this together, but we are. The sooner we pause for a moment and ask ourselves What Happens Then? if we continue to stoke the white-hot partisan fires, the sooner we realize that sustaining polarization is not in the best interests of anyone.

If we keep doing more of the same partisan same, the answer to What Happens Then? won't be to anyone's liking--not that current antipathy is offering us much. It's actually not contributing anything other than deepening the divide. There will be harsher consequences from doing more of the same.

Aren't we better than that? Shouldn't we want, expect, and deserve more?

There's plenty of blame to go around, of course. But we're no closer to one side winning--whatever that might mean--than we ever have. Partisans on each side might not (or might not want to) believe that, but if Left or Right is counting on Right or Left to concede, a long and painful wait is all that's guaranteed.

Sure as hell we won't experience "better" by doing more of what we're doing now".So I'm hoping to do my part by offering--from my staunchly progressive approach--a different and more meaningful perspective on our conflicted public dialogue. I invite you to join in. Who knows " we just might get to a better place after all!

Richard Turcotte is a retired attorney and former financial adviser (among other professional detours) and now a writer.


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