It's a term sweeping the developed world -" "austerity." It's not the way the 21st Century was supposed begin, at least not for Western countries who, since the end of World War II have enjoyed one hell of run. That's about to change.
It's a term sweeping the developed
world "austerity." It's not the way the 21st
Century was supposed begin, at least not for Western countries who,
since the end of World War II have enjoyed one hell of run.
With virtually no competition for
markets, natural resources or energy, western countries, led by the
US, experienced extraordinary growth, accompanied by historic levels
of individual affluence and societal protections. All this
became viewed as part and parcel of the West's new version of
manifest destiny and, among citizens, a birthright.
But then former Third World/Developing
nations, like China and India, stopped propping up the West with
cheap resources and began demanding their share of " well "
everything. And, they demanded that capitalist nations of the West
live up to their own capitalist dogma and " gasp..
compete.
All of which is why the West's one-time
Horn of Plenty is now running on empty. The hubris and swagger that once
pervaded Western societies has been replaced by something completely unfamiliar mandatory austerity.
Workers in Western Europe are already
in the streets protesting cuts in pensions, wages and jobs.
Retired workers and the working poor are protesting cuts in Europe's
once robust social services. Politicians in those countries beg for
understanding, explaining that they can't afford such levels of
expenditure any longer. Besides, they plead, all the debt piled
up over the past couple of decades has come home to roost, their
creditors are not amused and, unless satisfied -- and damn fast
they may cut them off.
So, many
European countries are broke. Amazingly since the region enjoyed half a
century of virtually free protection under the US defense
umbrella.
Here in the US we took matters further, much further. We not only over-spent
like Europe, but also carried a defense budget burden greater than
that of all the nations of the earth
combined. Then, just
for good measure, we slashed taxes on the rich while outsourcing the
last remaining dependable tax base the jobs of withholding-tax
paying blue collar workers. And, when the tax revenue plummeted, we
made up the difference borrowing ourselves into the same hole Europe
has.
(When it came to the economics of
"What, me worry?" Americans went the whole nine yards.)
Austerity forced by the rules of
economic physics works just like those spike strips cops put down to
stop runaway cars. When a nation hits an austerity strip it's a short
matter of time before everything is screeching along on rims with sparks start
flying. That's the stage Europe is in now, sparks are flying. What
comes next is, of course, entirely inevitable. It can be postponed
for a short while, but eventually the wheels fall off and that's it
time to face the music enforced austerity.
Europeans may have a tough time
adjusting as their social welfare system restructures into something
less generous. But Europeans can at least reach back to the
near-past, dusting off coping skills they employed during and
immediately after the war. Americans will not be so fortunate. It's
been nearly a century since Americans have had to deal with anything
that even approached austerity. (Our idea of austerity is settling for
a 42" flat-screen TV instead of the 60" we really wanted, or
dining at Outback Steakhouse instead of Chateau LeExcessive.)
The American economy has, so far, avoided the spike strips, but only because of bank and Wall Street bailouts
and fancy driving by the Federal Reserve scooting down side streets and back alleys.
But that run of luck will run out too And when it does it will be
interesting to see how all those blue collar voters who fell in love with
the Tea Party's "Don't tax the rich and we want smaller government" philosophy react. After all,
when the private sector can't/won't hire them, banks won't even return their calls, much lend them a dime, and the government
has, on Tea Party orders, gotten out of the social welfare business,
what then?
It's an
interesting question, and one
that we should all begin to ponder so we're ready when it
happens.
Because sooner or later sparks are going to fly when even these dimwit
self-minted "patriots" notice something. As they and their families
settle into the serfdom of austerity, those who cheered them on and
financed their movement will
have suddenly disappeared. When they go looking for their one-time
prophets of prosperity, Sarah Palin, Dick Armey
et al, they will find. And they will find them doing just fine, thank
you very much-- living in excessively non-austere surroundings, behind
locked gates, but signing louder than
ever the glories of unfettered free enterprise and small government.
That's when, I suspect, Nevada Tea
Party darling,
Sharon Angle, will get her wish, as all those
gun-loving, but now terminally unemployed, folks she stirred up start
exercising
"their Second-Amendment remedies." ( Though I suspect not exactly
as Angle had originally envisioned.)