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June 26, 2010

The Afghan War, Ninth Year: It Is Not Good

By Sandy Shanks

Given the rich history of the United States in combat, beginning with the Revolutionary War and extending to the present, it should be a given that after 8 1/2 years of war in Afghanistan one should be able assume that there is some progress. Such is not the case. On the contrary our efforts have become counter-productive.

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Given the rich history of the United States in combat, beginning with the Revolutionary War and extending to the present, it should be a given that after 8 1/2 years of war in Afghanistan one should be able assume that there is some progress in this war-torn, impoverished nation where the enemy has no air force, no armor, and virtually no technological weapons, relying upon WWII-era weaponry with the exception of Stinger missiles we gave the Mujahadeen (later becoming  the Taliban and Al-Qa'ida)during the Soviet-Afghan war. Such is not the case. On the contrary our efforts have become counter-productive.

This is reminiscent of the Vietnam War, the second longest war in our history. The war in Afghanistan recently became the longest war in our history, a dubious distinction at best, especially when one considers results.

In 1991, after seven decades, the Soviet Union suddenly disintegrated and disappeared. Columnist Tom Engelhardt writes, "Looking back, the most distinctive feature of the last years of the Soviet Union may have been the way it continued to pour money into its military -- and its military adventure in Afghanistan -- when it was already going bankrupt and the society it had built was beginning to collapse around it. In the end, its aging leaders made a devastating miscalculation. They mistook military power for power on this planet. Armed to the teeth and possessing a nuclear force capable of destroying the Earth many times over, the Soviets nonetheless remained the vastly poorer, weaker, and far less technologically innovative of the two superpowers [emphasis is mine]." He adds, "Gorbachev had dubbed Afghanistan'
the bleeding wound,'and when the wounded Red Army finally limped home, it was to a country that would soon cease to exist. For the Soviet Union, Afghanistan had literally proven 'the graveyard of empires.' If, at the end, its military remained standing, the empire didn't." Is there a similarity to any superpower you know today?

Here is a hint. Caught off guard by the collapse of the Soviet Union, Washington's policymakers drew no meaningful lessons from it while equally ignoring valuable lessons from the Vietnam defeat 16 years earlier. Successive American administrations headed blindly down the very path that had led the Soviets to ruin. Following 9/11, Bush administration officials and military leaders adhered to the tenets of a disgraced theory called Pax Americana, sending our forces around the globe to obscure frontiers and building mega bases to support them. "In this way, far more than the Soviets, the top officials of the Bush administration mistook military power for power, a gargantuan misreading of the U.S. economic position in the world and of their moment," Engelhardt. In describing the theory of Pax Americana, one might want to remember the words of Thomas Henry Huxley. He defined tragedy as "the slaying of a beautiful hypothesis by an ugly fact."

But hope springs eternal. Weary of nearly a decade of war at the beginning of the 21st Century the American public voted in a new sheriff to take over the town, Barack Obama from Illinois, the Land of Lincoln. Obama disavowed nearly every precept of the Bush administration, including that Iraq was the wrong war at the wrong time, while adding ominously during his campaign that Afghanistan was the "right war." Obama had no delusions about military omnipotence, and he stressed "Change." Then a strange thing happened on the foreign front. Nothing changed unless you count mere strategy. Towards the end of 2009, he ordered 20,000 additional combat troops to Afghanistan as troops in war-torn Iraq were drawing down. In essence, the U.S. was only drawing down one war, in Iraq, to feed the flames of another. Engelhardt states, "As in the Soviet Union before its collapse, the exaltation and feeding of the military at the expense of the rest of society and the economy had by now become the new normal; so much so that hardly a serious word could be said -- lest you not 'support our troops' -- when it came to ending the American way of war or downsizing the global mission or ponying up
the funds demanded of Congress to pursue war preparations and war-making."

And hope can be ethereal. Four months ago Gen. Stanley McChrystal stated, "We've got a government in a box, ready to roll [into Marja]." It took longer than expected to reach a more inconclusive outcome than expected in that town of about 80,000, which last month McChrystal called "a bleeding ulcer." Hence the delay from spring until autumn in tackling Kandahar, with its population of perhaps 800,000. He said, "[It is] more important we get it right than we get it fast." Getting it right might include what to name the operation in Kandahar as the military has suddenly grown reluctant to call the Kandahar offensive an "offensive." The military wants to call it something else, but they are not sure what yet. One suggestion from a savvy Marine corporal  was clusterf**k.


At a high level, decisive meeting in the autumn of 2009 members of that meet included President BarackObama, Vice-President JoeBiden, Gen. David Petraeus (CentCom Commander) and Adm. Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. At that meeting Gen. Petraeus assured the President that the Afghan National Army (ANA) will know the drill and will be dialed in on Afghan national security objectives once NATO forces begin to leave in 18 months (July 2011). The 18 months was a direct Presidential order. Despite Petraeus's and Mullen's assurances, Time Magazine reported recently "... that NATO trainers say 90 percent of Afghan enlisted recruits cannot read a rifle instruction manual, ANA officers routinely steal enlistees' salaries, soldiers sell off their own American-supplied boots, blankets and guns at the bazaar - sometimes to the Taliban, and recruits tend to go AWOL after their first leave, while one-quarter of those who stay in service are blitzed on hashish or heroin," according to an ANA survey. That was only the beginning of the problems for Gen. Petraeus.

In his article entitled, "Afghanistan: The News Is Bad," Jim Lobe of IPS reported, "While U.S. officials insist they are making progress in reversing the momentum built up by the Taliban insurgency over the last several years, the latest news from Afghanistan suggests the opposite may be closer to the truth. Even senior military officials are conceding privately that their much-touted new counterinsurgency strategy of 'clear, hold and build' in contested areas of the Pashtun southern and eastern parts of the country are not working out as planned despite the 'surge' of some 20,000 additional U.S. troops over the past six months." Note: Another 10,000 are slated to arrive by the end of August.

In the meantime casualties among the 130,000 U.S. and other NATO troops mount.June has become the deadliest month for NATO troops in Afghanistan.

None other than SecDef Robert Gates showed his frustration recently. "The one thing none of the (alliance's) publics...including the American public, will tolerate is the perception of stalemate in which we're losing young men," he said in London on the eve of a key NATO ministerial meeting in Brussels at which Afghanistan topped the agenda and Gates himself is expected to prod his interlocutors to fulfill pledges to provide more troops. He added desperately, "All of us, for our publics, are going to have to show by the end of the year that our strategy is on the track, making some headway."


Last November Obama set July 2011 as the date after which Washington would begin to withdraw U.S. troops from Afghanistan. He recently has added a caveat.He said his administration will conduct a major review of U.S. strategy and whether it is working at the end of this year. "Begin" is a clever word, and readers have a right to be skeptical. If, in July 2011, Obama withdraws 500 troops, that is a beginning, is it not? Unlike Iraq, there is no date for the withdrawal of all combat troops from Afghanistan. Additionally, there is this little tidbit.Special Operations forces are slated to receive a brand spanking new headquarters in northern Afghanistan to the tune of $100M. It is scheduled to be completed in one year. Do the math. It is pretty simple.

Gareth Porter (IPS), writing on June 12th, reported, "Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal confronts the spectre of a collapse of U.S. political support for the war in Afghanistan in coming months comparable to the one that occurred in the Iraq War in late 2006." On Thursday, June 10th, McChrystal admitted that the planned offensive in Kandahar City and surrounding districts is being delayed until September at the earliest, because it does not have the support of the Kandahar population and leadership. Porter continues, "... it is now clear that McChrystal has understood for weeks that the most basic premise of the operation turned out to be false." In Brussels for a NATO conference, the general stated, "When you go to protect people, the people have to want you to protect them." McChrystal did not have to spell out the corollary to that statement. The people of Kandahar do not want the protection of foreign troops.


As the reader knows, not unlike Petraeus,that was only the beginning of McChrystal's problems, or, as Ray McGovern suggests, McChrystal wanted to be fired, removed from an unenviable position.

To make matters worse, the American puppet, President Hamid Karzai, is not cooperating. He wants to reconcile with the Taliban leadership, a strategy Washington strongly opposes. Lobe writes, "Karzai's bid for reconciliation stems from his conviction, according to a number of accounts, that U.S. strategy is unlikely to succeed in weakening - let alone defeating - the Taliban and that his hold on power will ultimately rely on reaching an accommodation with them."

On June 15th, while being grilled by the Senate Armed Services Committee General David Petraeus fainted.

Just when the reader begins to think matters could not get any worse, guess what, matters got worse. The U.S. Treasury is paying the Afghan Taliban. Nancy A. Youssef, McClatchy Newspapers, revealed an impossible-to-believe Congressional investigative report stating, "Private security contractors protecting the convoys that supply U.S. military bases in Afghanistan are paying millions of dollars a week in 'passage bribes' to the Taliban and other insurgent groups to travel along Afghan roads." Youssef continues with the stunning report, "The payments, which are reimbursed by the U.S. government, help fund the very enemy the U.S. is attempting to defeat and renew questions about the U.S. dependence on private contractors, who outnumber American troops in Afghanistan, 130,000 to 93,000 [emphasis is mine]."

According to the report, nearly every company listed in the report is associated with senior Afghan officials, including President Hamid Karzai, the minister of defense, a provincial governor and a senior Afghan army official.

Youssef provides one example from the report. "One of those companies, Host Nation Trucking, transports about 70 percent of all goods to U.S. troops stationed at 200 bases and combat outposts throughout Afghanistan, running 6,000 to 8,000 delivery missions a month. The $2.16 billion contract called on HNT truckers to provide their own security, but didn't call for any oversight into how HNT and other companies did that. The investigation found that HNT has contracted with seven other companies to carry the cargo, but only one of those actually owns trucks. The others hire local Afghans, whose trucks sometimes bear the U.S. flag. The truckers pay as much as $1,500 a truck to 'nearly every Afghan governor, police chief and local military unit whose territory the company passed,' en route to a U.S. base, according to the 79-page report."

Rep. John Tierney, D-Mass., chairman of the House subcommittee on National Security and Foreign Affairs,said he was unable to determine how much was spent on such payments, but he said it could reach millions a week.

More and more one might be willing to accept the corporal's suggestion mentioned above. More and more one might be willing to accept McGovern's assertion mentioned above.

Then it happened. In a Rolling Stone article written by Michael Hastings, McChrystal and his aides managed to disparage President Obama, Vice-President Biden, special envoy Richard Holbrooke, the U.S. ambassador to Kabul, Karl Eikenberry, and National Security Advisor James Jones. Obviously, the handwriting was on the wall. On Wednesday, June 23rd, Obama accepted McChrystal's resignation. On that date, the undaunted Gen. Petraeus may have fainted again. After accepting McChrystal's resignation, Obama appointed Petraeus as commander in Afghanistan. Thus, Petraeus will be wearing two hats, CentCom and commander, Afghan NATO forces. The latter could well be an albatross that could weigh down and drown a good soldier's career. Presidents expect results from military commanders, and defeat is not welcomed on an officer's resume, but many wonder what the hell is Petraeus supposed to do?

I truly wish this was not the case. Following a defeat in Vietnam, dubious results in Iraq, the last thing America needs is still another military defeat. However, realism raises its ugly head. Tragedy is the slaying of a beautiful hypothesis by an ugly fact


Sadly, due to the decisions of a President in our recent past followed by the decisions of our current President, the United States is no longer a triumphant sole superpower any more. Indeed, President Bush was reviled by citizens of our allies as the No. 1 Terrorist. Engelhardt concludes, "Its global power is
visibly waning, its ability to win wars distinctly in question, its economic viability open to doubt. It has been transformed from a can-do into a can't-do nation, a fact only highlighted by the ongoing BP catastrophe and 'rescue' in the Gulf of Mexico. Its airports are less shiny and more Third World-like every year."

This is of enormous concern. Our infrastructure is crumbling beneath our eyes. Many of our bridges, highways, dams, levees, sewer and water systems, etc. have exceeded or soon will exceed their life expectancies, and there is no money on the local, state, and federal level to deal with the problem. There is little money for our future generations, our children, and our children's children as cuts to education have reached Draconian levels and they will be saddled with a National Debt that is off the scale. There is only money for war in a losing cause in a country most Americans cannot find on a map and could care less about as domestic problems overwhelm them.

Kudos to the Military/Industrial Complex and self-serving politicians who have exceeded far beyond Eisenhower's fears. In November the American people will speak.


Authors Bio:
I am the author of two novels, "The Bode Testament" and "Impeachment." I am also a columnist who keeps a wary eye on other columnists and the failures of the MSM (mainstream media).

I was born in Minnesota, and, to this day, I love the Vikings and the Twins. I am currently retired and reside with my wife of 45 years in Southern California. I am a former educator and a Marine officer [ret.].

I am a self-described amateur historian, the love of the topic going back to my sophomore days in high school. I am probably the only high schooler in the U.S. to read the 1600-page "The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich." I also consider myself somewhat of a specialist on the Middle East. The vast bulk of my articles concern the topic.

Not unlike many I was devastated by the attacks on 9/11. So devastated, in fact, that I was determined to fight back, following in the fine tradition of the Marine Corps. But how? What could a 58-year old retired Marine officer do in terms of fighting back. The answer was quite simple. Using the writing skills I learned while writing two books, I chose as my weapon what can euphemistically be called the pen, actually a word processor.

I was determined to become a columnist to offer my sage advice while recalling recent history that I know for a fact that Americans had long since forgotten. I am here to remind them.

Fortunately, achieving the goal of becoming a columnist did not take too long. I became a columnist for a Midwest newspaper in Nov. 2001. As an added bonus, all of my articles were placed on the Internet. I have been a columnist ever since, meaning for nine years.

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